CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ASU 20.4%79.6% BYU
Projected margin
BYU by 13.0
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
ASU 6 to BYU 32
Win probability
BYU 79.6%

Current team profiles

Arizona State
BYU

When Arizona State has the ball

Passing

BYU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU offense
#84
BYU defense
#16
EPA comparison
0.16
#84
-0.02
#16
Pass EPA

Rushing

BYU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU offense
#88
BYU defense
#18
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA

Drive success

BYU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU offense
#67
BYU defense
#32
Success rates
44%
#67
35%
#32
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#98
-0.08
#13
EPA / play
1.21
#86
1.18
#48
Explosiveness
16%
#88
20%
#17
Havoc

When BYU has the ball

Passing

ASU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU defense
#65
BYU offense
#70
EPA comparison
0.12
#65
0.23
#70
Pass EPA

Rushing

BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU defense
#84
BYU offense
#1
EPA comparison
0.07
#84
0.36
#1
Rush EPA

Drive success

BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU defense
#49
BYU offense
#7
Success rates
38%
#49
52%
#7
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#87
0.30
#16
EPA / play
1.31
#105
1.18
#96
Explosiveness
15%
#90
8%
#2
Havoc

Current key players

Arizona State
QBCutter Boley
1040 yds · 10 TD · 3 INT
78.286/729
WRReed Harris
26 rec · 499 yds · 5 TD
88.012/2069
LBIsaiah Iosefa
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.8
Coverage
71.1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
82.361/1796
RBDemarius Robinson
27 yds · 0 TD · 6.8 YPC
80.571/1044
DBCaleb Chester
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.0
Coverage
77.8
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
34
Passer rating allowed
86.9
Missed tackles
1
79.176/2969
DBLyrik Rawls
11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.5
Coverage
79.6
Targets allowed
9
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
87
Passer rating allowed
95.4
Missed tackles
2
75.9162/2969
Availability reports · 6
  • Lyrik Rawls · CBout · 2026-10-07

    Rawls is managing with a leg injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Khamari Anderson · TEout · 2026-09-21

    Anderson is sidelined with a leg injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Wade Helton · OGout · 2026-09-18

    Helton is sidelined with a leg injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Zyrus Fiaseu · LBout · 2026-08-25

    Fiaseu is sidelined with a knee injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Grayson Rigdon · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Rigdon is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Raiders on Saturday, October

  • Harry Hassmann · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hassmann is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Raiders on Saturday, October 17th.

BYU
QBTreyson Bourguet
15 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
84.448/729
RBLJ Martin
344 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
87.223/1044
TEWalker Lyons
8 rec · 89 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
66.6
Run blocking
78.4
Penalties
0
80.922/1017
WRLegend Glasker
14 rec · 279 yds · 2 TD
80.553/2069
CBCannon DeVries
14 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.9
Coverage
74.7
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
77
Passer rating allowed
102.4
Missed tackles
0
77.1120/2969
LBCade Uluave
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.5
Coverage
75.7
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
76.9142/1796
Availability reports · 7
  • LJ Martin · RBout · 2026-10-07

    Martin is managing with an ankle injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Sione Moa · RBout · 2026-09-20

    Moa is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Raider Damuni · Sout · 2026-09-07

    Damuni is out of commission due to a lower body injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Siale Esera · LBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Esera is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October

  • Andrew Gentry · OGQues. · 2026-10-10

    Gentry is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brody Laga · KQues. · 2026-10-10

    Laga has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October 1

  • Jacob Nye · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Nye is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ASU
BYU
vs
Offense
78.2
#67 of 138
QB
84.4
#42 of 138
78.6
#43 of 138
RB
87.2
#6 of 138
72.8
#51 of 138
WR
73.0
#47 of 138
60.5
#114 of 138
TE
80.9
#22 of 138
70.2
#52 of 138
OL
80.6
#3 of 138
Defense
76.2
#44 of 138
DL
76.1
#46 of 138
72.0
#88 of 138
LB
74.5
#64 of 138
73.3
#53 of 138
DB
72.6
#62 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Arizona State
opponent
BYU
H-36.0
BAY#41
+9.8H
A-11.7
ARIZ#25
+11.0H
A-3.8
UCF#48
+6.5A
N+7.0
KU#31
+9.8A