CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Fri Nov 27 · 7:30 PM ET
Lone Star Showdown (all-sports trophy; no traditional football traveling trophy)
Forecast win probability
TEX 51.0%49.0% TA&M
Projected margin
TEX by 0.4
Projected total
51
80% outcome range
TEX 19 to TA&M 18
Win probability
TEX 51.0%

Current team profiles

Texas
Texas A&M

When Texas has the ball

Passing

TA&M defense
Higher-ranked profile
TEX offense
#60
TA&M defense
#55
EPA comparison
0.26
#60
0.10
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

TA&M defense
Higher-ranked profile
TEX offense
#93
TA&M defense
#37
EPA comparison
0.04
#93
-0.03
#37
Rush EPA

Drive success

TA&M defense
Higher-ranked profile
TEX offense
#69
TA&M defense
#44
Success rates
44%
#69
37%
#44
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#96
0.00
#39
EPA / play
1.18
#97
1.28
#96
Explosiveness
17%
#110
17%
#43
Havoc

When Texas A&M has the ball

Passing

TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
TEX defense
#20
TA&M offense
#125
EPA comparison
0.00
#20
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA

Rushing

TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
TEX defense
#22
TA&M offense
#70
EPA comparison
-0.09
#22
0.11
#70
Rush EPA

Drive success

TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
TEX defense
#25
TA&M offense
#91
Success rates
35%
#25
42%
#91
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#23
0.04
#109
EPA / play
1.04
#7
1.08
#130
Explosiveness
21%
#10
15%
#77
Havoc

Current key players

Texas
QBArch Manning
865 yds · 7 TD · 3 INT
74.8113/729
WRSterling Berkhalter
3 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
83.729/2069
DBJelani McDonald
26 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.2
Coverage
73.5
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
56
Passer rating allowed
118.2
Missed tackles
3
76.3149/2969
RBHollywood Smothers
198 yds · 2 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.1147/1044
DBGraceson Littleton
14 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.1
Coverage
75.0
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
75
Passer rating allowed
59.2
Missed tackles
3
76.0161/2969
WRCam Coleman
11 rec · 194 yds · 4 TD
70.5246/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Trevor Goosby · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Goosby is dealing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Zion Williams · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Kaliq Lockett · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Lockett is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Daylan McCutcheon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    McCutcheon is ailing from an illness, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.

Texas A&M
QBMarcel Reed
908 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
59.6301/729
RBKJ Edwards
181 yds · 2 TD · 6.5 YPC
89.910/1044
TEKiotti Armstrong
2 rec · 62 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.7
Run blocking
70.0
Penalties
1
82.020/1017
LBTamarion Watkins
7 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.2
Coverage
65.7
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.4129/1796
WRMario Craver
23 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD
73.9150/2069
LBDaymion Sanford
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.8
Coverage
63.5
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
71.1326/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Terry Bussey · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Bussey is tending to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Tiger Riden Jr. · RBout · 2026-08-27

    Riden Jr. has suffered an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Madden Williams · WRout · 2026-09-06

    Williams has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Blake Ivy · OGQues. · 2026-10-10

    Ivy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Citadel on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TEX
TA&M
vs
Offense
74.8
#83 of 138
QB
59.6
#134 of 138
74.0
#82 of 138
RB
80.2
#36 of 138
74.5
#37 of 138
WR
67.6
#114 of 138
63.2
#103 of 138
TE
82.0
#20 of 138
76.6
#10 of 138
OL
71.7
#42 of 138
Defense
77.9
#24 of 138
DL
80.7
#13 of 138
66.3
#127 of 138
LB
72.8
#80 of 138
70.6
#89 of 138
DB
66.8
#128 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Texas
opponent
Texas A&M
A+0.4
LSU#11
-29.0A
A+2.6
MIZ#15
-21.0A
H+22.3
ARK#71
+27.0H
N-3.0
OU#19
-0.6A
A+3.0
TENN#21
+1.2H