Passing
TA&M defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK offense
- #88
- TA&M defense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.14
#88
0.10
#55
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ARK 16.1%83.9% TA&M
- Projected margin
- TA&M by 14.7
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- ARK 4 to TA&M 34
- Win probability
- TA&M 83.9%
FinalARK 7 · TA&M 34model had +14.7, off by 12.3
Current team profiles
ArkansasTexas A&MWhen Arkansas has the ball
Rushing
TA&M defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK offense
- #134
- TA&M defense
- #37
EPA comparison
-0.11
#134
-0.03
#37
Rush EPA
Drive success
TA&M defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK offense
- #96
- TA&M defense
- #44
Success rates
41%
#96
37%
#44
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#120
0.00
#39
EPA / play
1.08
#129
1.28
#96
Explosiveness
19%
#126
17%
#43
Havoc
When Texas A&M has the ball
Passing
ARK defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK defense
- #84
- TA&M offense
- #125
EPA comparison
0.19
#84
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA
Rushing
TA&M offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK defense
- #125
- TA&M offense
- #70
EPA comparison
0.20
#125
0.11
#70
Rush EPA
Drive success
TA&M offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK defense
- #100
- TA&M offense
- #91
Success rates
43%
#100
42%
#91
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#111
0.04
#109
EPA / play
1.16
#38
1.08
#130
Explosiveness
13%
#111
15%
#77
Havoc
Current key players
ArkansasQBKJ Jackson
1038 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
64.0225/729
WRChris Marshall
35 rec · 517 yds · 2 TD
81.246/2069
LBBen Bogle
36 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.7
- Coverage
- 58.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.799/1796
DBShelton Lewis
13 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.7
- Coverage
- 81.3
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 45
- Passer rating allowed
- 64.6
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.584/2969
DBKhmori House
33 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.7
- Coverage
- 68.2
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 107
- Passer rating allowed
- 94.5
- Missed tackles
- 1
73.2266/2969
WRJelani Watkins
27 rush yds · 0 TD · 3 car
73.0164/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Maddox Lassiter · TEout · 2026-08-16
Lassiter has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an upper body injury.
- H. Hendrix · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Hendrix is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Commodores on Saturday, October 17th.
Texas A&MQBMarcel Reed
908 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
59.6301/729
RBKJ Edwards
181 yds · 2 TD · 6.5 YPC
89.910/1044
TEKiotti Armstrong
2 rec · 62 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 71.7
- Run blocking
- 70.0
- Penalties
- 1
82.020/1017
LBTamarion Watkins
7 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.2
- Coverage
- 65.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.4129/1796
WRMario Craver
23 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD
73.9150/2069
LBDaymion Sanford
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.8
- Coverage
- 63.5
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 3
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
71.1326/1796
Availability reports · 4
- Terry Bussey · WRout · 2026-09-21
Bussey is tending to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Tiger Riden Jr. · RBout · 2026-08-27
Riden Jr. has suffered an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Madden Williams · WRout · 2026-09-06
Williams has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Blake Ivy · OGQues. · 2026-10-10
Ivy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Citadel on Saturday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ARKArkansas
TA&MTexas A&M
vs
Offense
64.0
#122 of 138
QB
Quarterback
59.6
#134 of 138
67.0
#135 of 138
RB
Running backs
80.2
#36 of 138
72.9
#50 of 138
WR
Receivers
67.6
#114 of 138
61.8
#107 of 138
TE
Tight ends
82.0
#20 of 138
64.3
#102 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.7
#42 of 138
Defense
72.4
#79 of 138
DL
Defensive line
80.7
#13 of 138
70.2
#103 of 138
LB
Linebackers
72.8
#80 of 138
70.2
#94 of 138
DB
Secondary
66.8
#128 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Arkansas
opponent
Texas A&M
Aaway-22.3
TEXTexas#7-0.4Hhome
Hhome-14.0
LSULSU#11-29.0Aaway
Hhome-5.9
SCSouth Carolina#38+5.4Aaway
Hhome-11.8
MIZMissouri#15-21.0Aaway
Hhome-7.0
TENNTennessee#21+1.2Hhome