CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
TA&M 45.6%54.4% MIZ
Projected margin
MIZ by 1.6
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
TA&M 18 to MIZ 22
Win probability
MIZ 54.4%
FinalTA&M 6 · MIZ 27model had +1.6, off by 19.4

Current team profiles

Texas A&M
Missouri

When Texas A&M has the ball

Passing

MIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
TA&M offense
#125
MIZ defense
#38
EPA comparison
-0.01
#125
0.06
#38
Pass EPA

Rushing

MIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
TA&M offense
#70
MIZ defense
#29
EPA comparison
0.11
#70
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA

Drive success

MIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
TA&M offense
#91
MIZ defense
#20
Success rates
42%
#91
35%
#20
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#109
-0.02
#33
EPA / play
1.08
#130
1.34
#114
Explosiveness
15%
#77
22%
#4
Havoc

When Missouri has the ball

Passing

MIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
TA&M defense
#55
MIZ offense
#19
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
0.43
#19
Pass EPA

Rushing

TA&M defense
Higher-ranked profile
TA&M defense
#37
MIZ offense
#72
EPA comparison
-0.03
#37
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

TA&M defense
Higher-ranked profile
TA&M defense
#44
MIZ offense
#79
Success rates
37%
#44
43%
#79
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#39
0.20
#46
EPA / play
1.28
#96
1.30
#30
Explosiveness
17%
#43
16%
#93
Havoc

Current key players

Texas A&M
QBMarcel Reed
908 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
59.6301/729
RBKJ Edwards
181 yds · 2 TD · 6.5 YPC
89.910/1044
TEKiotti Armstrong
2 rec · 62 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.7
Run blocking
70.0
Penalties
1
82.020/1017
LBTamarion Watkins
7 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.2
Coverage
65.7
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.4129/1796
WRMario Craver
23 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD
73.9150/2069
LBDaymion Sanford
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.8
Coverage
63.5
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
71.1326/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Terry Bussey · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Bussey is tending to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Tiger Riden Jr. · RBout · 2026-08-27

    Riden Jr. has suffered an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Madden Williams · WRout · 2026-09-06

    Williams has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Blake Ivy · OGQues. · 2026-10-10

    Ivy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Citadel on Saturday.

Missouri
QBAustin Simmons
1270 yds · 13 TD · 0 INT
88.428/729
WRCayden Lee
33 rec · 496 yds · 4 TD
91.35/2069
LBRobert Woodyard Jr.
32 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
92.5
Coverage
55.4
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
12
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
1
77.5126/1796
CBJahlil Florence
6 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
44.7
Coverage
81.1
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
8
Passer rating allowed
9.8
Missed tackles
3
75.7168/2969
SCJ Bass III
3 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
57.0
Coverage
78.9
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
74.5210/2969
SSantana Banner
42 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
65.2
Coverage
79.1
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
155
Passer rating allowed
128.9
Missed tackles
5
74.2218/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Cayden Green · OGout · 2026-09-20

    Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Gavin Hoffman · TEout · 2026-09-20

    Hoffman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.

  • Ahmad Hardy · RBout · 2026-09-11

    Hardy is dealing with a leg injury, and and a timetable for return has yet to be established.

  • Jabari Brady · WRout · 2026-09-20

    Brady is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.

  • Darris Smith · DLQues. · 2026-10-10

    Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to play against the Ole Miss on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TA&M
MIZ
vs
Offense
59.6
#134 of 138
QB
88.4
#27 of 138
80.2
#36 of 138
RB
69.8
#121 of 138
67.6
#114 of 138
WR
77.6
#19 of 138
82.0
#20 of 138
TE
70.1
#63 of 138
71.7
#42 of 138
OL
77.3
#9 of 138
Defense
80.7
#13 of 138
DL
81.3
#11 of 138
72.8
#80 of 138
LB
72.7
#81 of 138
66.8
#128 of 138
DB
73.6
#49 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Texas A&M
opponent
Missouri
H-10.0
UK#40
+11.9H
H+27.0
ARK#71
+11.8A
A-0.6
OU#19
+2.5H
H-0.4
TEX#7
-2.6H