CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
#28Away
Texas A&M
3-3 · AVR 68.1
24p
#3Home
Alabama
5-1 · AVR 79.3
35p
Forecast win probability
TA&M 22.7%77.3% ALA
Projected margin
ALA by 11.9
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
TA&M 7 to ALA 31
Win probability
ALA 77.3%

Current team profiles

Texas A&M
Alabama

When Texas A&M has the ball

Passing

ALA defense
Higher-ranked profile
TA&M offense
#125
ALA defense
#55
EPA comparison
-0.01
#125
0.10
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

ALA defense
Higher-ranked profile
TA&M offense
#70
ALA defense
#8
EPA comparison
0.11
#70
-0.17
#8
Rush EPA

Drive success

ALA defense
Higher-ranked profile
TA&M offense
#91
ALA defense
#30
Success rates
42%
#91
35%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#109
-0.06
#17
EPA / play
1.08
#130
1.37
#122
Explosiveness
15%
#77
20%
#22
Havoc

When Alabama has the ball

Passing

ALA offense
Higher-ranked profile
TA&M defense
#55
ALA offense
#22
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
0.42
#22
Pass EPA

Rushing

ALA offense
Higher-ranked profile
TA&M defense
#37
ALA offense
#9
EPA comparison
-0.03
#37
0.27
#9
Rush EPA

Drive success

ALA offense
Higher-ranked profile
TA&M defense
#44
ALA offense
#15
Success rates
37%
#44
50%
#15
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#39
0.33
#7
EPA / play
1.28
#96
1.32
#25
Explosiveness
17%
#43
16%
#94
Havoc

Current key players

Texas A&M
QBMarcel Reed
908 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
59.6301/729
RBKJ Edwards
181 yds · 2 TD · 6.5 YPC
89.910/1044
TEKiotti Armstrong
2 rec · 62 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.7
Run blocking
70.0
Penalties
1
82.020/1017
LBTamarion Watkins
7 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.2
Coverage
65.7
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.4129/1796
WRMario Craver
23 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD
73.9150/2069
LBDaymion Sanford
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.8
Coverage
63.5
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
71.1326/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Terry Bussey · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Bussey is tending to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Tiger Riden Jr. · RBout · 2026-08-27

    Riden Jr. has suffered an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Madden Williams · WRout · 2026-09-06

    Williams has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Blake Ivy · OGQues. · 2026-10-10

    Ivy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Citadel on Saturday.

Alabama
QBKeelon Russell
1414 yds · 11 TD · 2 INT
92.54/729
RBEJ Crowell
204 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
90.38/1044
LBLuke Metz
36 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.1
Coverage
84.7
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
25
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
87.223/1796
TEMarshall Pritchett
7 rec · 148 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
73.8
Run blocking
74.2
Penalties
1
82.817/1017
WRNoah Rogers
3 rec · 55 yds · 0 TD
81.844/2069
LBDesmond Umeozulu
6 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.3
Coverage
62.2
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
30
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.798/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • Josh Ford · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ford is nursing with a arm injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Aubrey Walker · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Walker is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TA&M
ALA
vs
Offense
59.6
#134 of 138
QB
92.5
#3 of 138
80.2
#36 of 138
RB
84.4
#12 of 138
67.6
#114 of 138
WR
76.3
#29 of 138
82.0
#20 of 138
TE
82.8
#17 of 138
71.7
#42 of 138
OL
71.7
#38 of 138
Defense
80.7
#13 of 138
DL
79.7
#17 of 138
72.8
#80 of 138
LB
81.5
#14 of 138
66.8
#128 of 138
DB
72.1
#69 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Texas A&M
opponent
Alabama
H-10.0
UK#40
+28.0A
A-29.0
LSU#11
+6.6A
A+5.4
SC#38
+31.0H
H+1.2
TENN#21
+5.2A