CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 1:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CIT 0.1%99.9% TA&M
Projected margin
TA&M by 59.2
Projected total
75
80% outcome range
TA&M 41 to TA&M 77
Win probability
TA&M 99.9%

Current team profiles

The Citadel
Texas A&M

When The Citadel has the ball

Passing

No comparison
CIT offense
—
TA&M defense
#55
EPA comparison
—
0.10
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
CIT offense
—
TA&M defense
#37
EPA comparison
—
-0.03
#37
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
CIT offense
#77
TA&M defense
#44
Success rates
43%
#77
37%
#44
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#83
0.00
#39
EPA / play
0.20
#69
1.28
#96
Explosiveness
—
17%
#43
Havoc

When Texas A&M has the ball

Passing

No comparison
CIT defense
—
TA&M offense
#125
EPA comparison
—
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
CIT defense
—
TA&M offense
#70
EPA comparison
—
0.11
#70
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
CIT defense
#95
TA&M offense
#91
Success rates
47%
#95
42%
#91
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#84
0.04
#109
EPA / play
0.21
#68
1.08
#130
Explosiveness
—
15%
#77
Havoc

Current key players

The Citadel
QBNick Billoups
244 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
83.127/370
RBGavin Garcia
516 yds · 6 TD · 5.6 YPC
78.451/631
DLDavid Alexander
12 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.6
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
61
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
76.099/1549
LBJoshua Saddler
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
67.5
Coverage
73.5
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
6
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
75.892/1054
DBKhaleb Bridges
15 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
77.6
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
93
Passer rating allowed
95.2
Missed tackles
3
75.8120/1765
DLMaurice Bonneau Jr.
14 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.6
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
94
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
70.6291/1549
Texas A&M
QBMarcel Reed
908 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
59.6301/729
RBKJ Edwards
181 yds · 2 TD · 6.5 YPC
89.910/1044
TEKiotti Armstrong
2 rec · 62 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.7
Run blocking
70.0
Penalties
1
82.020/1017
LBTamarion Watkins
7 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.2
Coverage
65.7
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.4129/1796
WRMario Craver
23 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD
73.9150/2069
LBDaymion Sanford
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.8
Coverage
63.5
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
71.1326/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Terry Bussey · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Bussey is tending to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Tiger Riden Jr. · RBout · 2026-08-27

    Riden Jr. has suffered an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Madden Williams · WRout · 2026-09-06

    Williams has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Blake Ivy · OGQues. · 2026-10-10

    Ivy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Citadel on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CIT
TA&M
vs
Offense
83.1
#25 of 125
QB
59.6
#134 of 138
72.5
#58 of 126
RB
80.2
#36 of 138
62.9
#117 of 126
WR
67.6
#114 of 138
51.5
#123 of 124
TE
82.0
#20 of 138
59.1
#115 of 125
OL
71.7
#42 of 138
Defense
70.2
#70 of 126
DL
80.7
#13 of 138
71.0
#65 of 126
LB
72.8
#80 of 138
68.6
#96 of 126
DB
66.8
#128 of 138
Common opponents