CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
TENN 46.5%53.5% TA&M
Projected margin
TA&M by 1.2
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
TENN 17 to TA&M 20
Win probability
TA&M 53.5%

Current team profiles

Tennessee
Texas A&M

When Tennessee has the ball

Passing

TA&M defense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN offense
#98
TA&M defense
#55
EPA comparison
0.12
#98
0.10
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

TENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN offense
#6
TA&M defense
#37
EPA comparison
0.29
#6
-0.03
#37
Rush EPA

Drive success

TA&M defense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN offense
#50
TA&M defense
#44
Success rates
45%
#50
37%
#44
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#50
0.00
#39
EPA / play
1.21
#87
1.28
#96
Explosiveness
16%
#98
17%
#43
Havoc

When Texas A&M has the ball

Passing

TENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN defense
#3
TA&M offense
#125
EPA comparison
-0.13
#3
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA

Rushing

TA&M offense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN defense
#73
TA&M offense
#70
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.11
#70
Rush EPA

Drive success

TENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN defense
#46
TA&M offense
#91
Success rates
38%
#46
42%
#91
Success rate
More metrics
-0.08
#12
0.04
#109
EPA / play
1.06
#11
1.08
#130
Explosiveness
22%
#6
15%
#77
Havoc

Current key players

Tennessee
QBGeorge MacIntyre
148 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
79.673/729
RBDeSean Bishop
540 yds · 7 TD · 6.1 YPC
82.751/1044
DBDejuan Lane
17 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.0
Coverage
85.8
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
81
Passer rating allowed
67.2
Missed tackles
5
80.457/2969
LBJeremiah Telander
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.8
Coverage
86.1
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
59
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
77.9121/1796
DBTy Redmond
18 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
78.9
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
105
Passer rating allowed
66.6
Missed tackles
3
76.8132/2969
LBAmare Campbell
31 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.2
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
12
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
0
72.9259/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Wendell Moe Jr. · OGout · 2026-09-30

    Moe Jr has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

  • Jaedon Harmon · LBout · 2026-09-07

    Harmon has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to ACL tear.

  • Javin Gordon · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gordon is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bennett Brady · LSQues. · 2026-10-11

    Brady is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October

Texas A&M
QBMarcel Reed
908 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
59.6301/729
RBKJ Edwards
181 yds · 2 TD · 6.5 YPC
89.910/1044
TEKiotti Armstrong
2 rec · 62 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.7
Run blocking
70.0
Penalties
1
82.020/1017
LBTamarion Watkins
7 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.2
Coverage
65.7
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.4129/1796
WRMario Craver
23 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD
73.9150/2069
LBDaymion Sanford
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.8
Coverage
63.5
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
71.1326/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Terry Bussey · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Bussey is tending to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Tiger Riden Jr. · RBout · 2026-08-27

    Riden Jr. has suffered an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Madden Williams · WRout · 2026-09-06

    Williams has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Blake Ivy · OGQues. · 2026-10-10

    Ivy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Citadel on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TENN
TA&M
vs
Offense
79.6
#57 of 138
QB
59.6
#134 of 138
82.0
#23 of 138
RB
80.2
#36 of 138
69.8
#81 of 138
WR
67.6
#114 of 138
70.8
#60 of 138
TE
82.0
#20 of 138
71.9
#36 of 138
OL
71.7
#42 of 138
Defense
81.6
#10 of 138
DL
80.7
#13 of 138
74.0
#70 of 138
LB
72.8
#80 of 138
73.5
#50 of 138
DB
66.8
#128 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Tennessee
opponent
Texas A&M
H+4.1
LSU#11
-29.0A
H+15.5
UK#40
-10.0H
A+7.0
ARK#71
+27.0H
H-5.2
ALA#3
-11.9A
H-3.0
TEX#7
-0.4H
A+6.8
SC#38
+5.4A