Missouri State

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

1. Week 1 · Sep 5
   atTexas A&M

   L 0–50
   Win chance 1%Model margin -29.6Game details
2. Week 2 · Sep 12
   vsLindenwood

   W 48–14
   Win chance 91%Model margin +18.4Game details
3. Week 3 · Sep 19
   vsMarshall

   L 24–30
   Win chance 60%Model margin +3.6Game details
4. Week 4 · Sep 26
   atSMU

   L 24–34
   Win chance 2%Model margin -29.2Game details
5. Week 6 · Oct 8
   atWestern Kentucky

   L 13–34
   Win chance 50%Model margin +0.1Game details
6. Week 7 · Oct 14
   vsKennesaw State
   Win chance 40%Model margin -3.4Game details
7. Week 8 · Oct 20
   atDelaware
   Win chance 31%Model margin -6.6Game details
8. Week 9 · Oct 28
   vsSam Houston
   Win chance 72%Model margin +7.9Game details
9. Week 10 · Nov 7
   atFlorida International
   Win chance 25%Model margin -9.3Game details
10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsNew Mexico State
    Win chance 51%Model margin +0.5Game details
11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atJacksonville State
    Win chance 20%Model margin -11.5Game details
12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsLiberty
    Win chance 24%Model margin -9.4Game details

Wk	Opponent	Win prob	Result	Model	± Exp	Game page
1	at#28Texas A&M	1%	L 0-50	-29.6✓	-20	›
2	vs#211Lindenwood	91%	W 48-14	+18.4✓	+16	›
3	vs#124Marshall	60%	L 24-30	+3.6✗	-10	›
4	at#39SMU	2%	L 24-34	-29.2✓	+19	›
6	at#122Western Kentucky	50%	L 13-34	+0.1✗	-21	›
7	vs#113Kennesaw State	40%	Oct 14	-3.4	—	›
8	at#119Delaware	31%	Oct 20	-6.6	—	›
9	vs#125Sam Houston	72%	Oct 28	+7.9	—	›
10	at#99Florida International	25%	Nov 7	-9.3	—	›
11	vs#120New Mexico State	51%	Nov 14	+0.5	—	›
12	at#103Jacksonville State	20%	Nov 21	-11.5	—	›
13	vs#77Liberty	24%	Nov 28	-9.4	—	›