CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Tue Oct 20 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MOST 33.5%66.5% DEL
Projected margin
DEL by 6.6
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
MOST 12 to DEL 25
Win probability
DEL 66.5%

Current team profiles

Missouri State
Delaware

When Missouri State has the ball

Passing

DEL defense
Higher-ranked profile
MOST offense
#92
DEL defense
#89
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
0.20
#89
Pass EPA

Rushing

DEL defense
Higher-ranked profile
MOST offense
#92
DEL defense
#68
EPA comparison
0.05
#92
0.04
#68
Rush EPA

Drive success

DEL defense
Higher-ranked profile
MOST offense
#108
DEL defense
#67
Success rates
39%
#108
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#100
0.09
#84
EPA / play
1.22
#78
1.28
#97
Explosiveness
17%
#106
18%
#36
Havoc

When Delaware has the ball

Passing

DEL offense
Higher-ranked profile
MOST defense
#122
DEL offense
#101
EPA comparison
0.36
#122
0.11
#101
Pass EPA

Rushing

DEL offense
Higher-ranked profile
MOST defense
#112
DEL offense
#110
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
0.00
#110
Rush EPA

Drive success

DEL offense
Higher-ranked profile
MOST defense
#134
DEL offense
#124
Success rates
50%
#134
38%
#124
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#131
0.00
#123
EPA / play
1.07
#13
1.26
#48
Explosiveness
14%
#95
21%
#136
Havoc

Current key players

Missouri State
QBSkyler Locklear
699 yds · 4 TD · 1 INT
73.6126/729
CBJoel Boamah
15 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.9
Coverage
81.2
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
127
Passer rating allowed
54.6
Missed tackles
1
80.950/2969
WRIsaiah Myers
17 rec · 342 yds · 2 TD
80.749/2069
RBRamone Green Jr.
186 yds · 2 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.0152/1044
SJerrick Martin
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
76.8
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
75.3185/2969
TECash Pomeroy
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
77.2
Penalties
0
74.648/1017
Availability reports · 3
  • James Rexroat · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Rexroat is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Kennesaw State on Wednesday.

  • Makai Cope · WRQues. · 2026-09-20

    Cope is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Mustangs on Saturday, September 26th.

  • Josh Joyner · RBQues. · 2026-10-09

    Joyner is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Kennesaw State on Wednesday.

Delaware
QBNick Minicucci
838 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
66.4200/729
LBJalen Bell
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.8
Coverage
76.7
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
21
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
80.971/1796
WRSean Wilson
21 rec · 304 yds · 3 TD
76.4104/2069
RBKaderris Roberts
86 yds · 1 TD · 4.1 YPC
75.8155/1044
SNoah Jefferson
18 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.4
Coverage
69.9
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
35
Passer rating allowed
58.6
Missed tackles
1
73.0277/2969
LBBlake Matthews
29 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 4.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.5
Coverage
61.8
Pressures
14
Pass-rush snaps
54
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
2
71.4311/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Nick Minicucci · QBout · 2026-10-02

    Minicucci is hampered by a leg injury, and it is not anticipated that he will suit up against Liberty on Friday, October 2nd.

  • Greg Spiller · RBout · 2026-09-13

    Spiller is managing with an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Brandon Rehmann · WRQues. · 2026-09-27

    Rehmann is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Liberty on Friday, October 2th.

  • Ty Salazer · WRQues. · 2026-09-27

    Salazer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Liberty on Friday, October 2th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

MOST
DEL
vs
Offense
73.6
#88 of 138
QB
66.4
#115 of 138
74.7
#75 of 138
RB
72.7
#102 of 138
68.9
#94 of 138
WR
72.1
#58 of 138
74.6
#38 of 138
TE
68.8
#72 of 138
73.1
#27 of 138
OL
64.3
#101 of 138
Defense
66.7
#132 of 138
DL
67.8
#125 of 138
68.4
#118 of 138
LB
74.4
#66 of 138
71.1
#82 of 138
DB
69.8
#103 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Missouri State
opponent
Delaware
A-21.0
WKU#122
-2.1A
A-11.5
JXST#103
-2.2H
A-9.3
FIU#99
-0.1H
H-9.4
LIB#77
-16.0H
H-3.4
KENN#113
-4.8A
H+0.5
NMSU#120
-0.9A