CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 4:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MOST 26.9%73.1% FIU
Projected margin
FIU by 9.3
Projected total
51
80% outcome range
MOST 9 to FIU 28
Win probability
FIU 73.1%

Current team profiles

Missouri State
Florida International

When Missouri State has the ball

Passing

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
MOST offense
#92
FIU defense
#14
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
-0.05
#14
Pass EPA

Rushing

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
MOST offense
#92
FIU defense
#29
EPA comparison
0.05
#92
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA

Drive success

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
MOST offense
#108
FIU defense
#11
Success rates
39%
#108
34%
#11
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#100
-0.07
#14
EPA / play
1.22
#78
1.14
#28
Explosiveness
17%
#106
18%
#31
Havoc

When Florida International has the ball

Passing

FIU offense
Higher-ranked profile
MOST defense
#122
FIU offense
#107
EPA comparison
0.36
#122
0.10
#107
Pass EPA

Rushing

MOST defense
Higher-ranked profile
MOST defense
#112
FIU offense
#129
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
-0.09
#129
Rush EPA

Drive success

FIU offense
Higher-ranked profile
MOST defense
#134
FIU offense
#115
Success rates
50%
#134
39%
#115
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#131
-0.01
#124
EPA / play
1.07
#13
1.13
#116
Explosiveness
14%
#95
16%
#98
Havoc

Current key players

Missouri State
QBSkyler Locklear
699 yds · 4 TD · 1 INT
73.6126/729
CBJoel Boamah
15 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.9
Coverage
81.2
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
127
Passer rating allowed
54.6
Missed tackles
1
80.950/2969
WRIsaiah Myers
17 rec · 342 yds · 2 TD
80.749/2069
RBRamone Green Jr.
186 yds · 2 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.0152/1044
SJerrick Martin
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
76.8
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
75.3185/2969
TECash Pomeroy
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
77.2
Penalties
0
74.648/1017
Availability reports · 3
  • James Rexroat · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Rexroat is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Kennesaw State on Wednesday.

  • Makai Cope · WRQues. · 2026-09-20

    Cope is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Mustangs on Saturday, September 26th.

  • Josh Joyner · RBQues. · 2026-10-09

    Joyner is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Kennesaw State on Wednesday.

Florida International
QBZach Marker
92 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
72.7132/729
RBJayden Ford
11 yds · 0 TD · 11.0 YPC
89.013/1044
WRMaguire Anderson
24 rec · 383 yds · 2 TD
79.362/2069
LBCam Davis
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
78.3115/1796
DBRyan Gadson
15 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
76.9
Targets allowed
20
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
71
Passer rating allowed
66.9
Missed tackles
2
77.0127/2969
DBJai-Ayviauynn Celestine
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
83.8
Coverage
73.1
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
33.3
Missed tackles
2
76.2151/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Ayden Passley · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Passley is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octob

  • Kevin Schaeffer · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Schaeffer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octo

  • Noah Sidan · KQues. · 2026-10-08

    Sidan is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

MOST
FIU
vs
Offense
73.6
#88 of 138
QB
72.7
#92 of 138
74.7
#75 of 138
RB
74.8
#73 of 138
68.9
#94 of 138
WR
71.2
#72 of 138
74.6
#38 of 138
TE
60.0
#120 of 138
73.1
#27 of 138
OL
62.6
#118 of 138
Defense
66.7
#132 of 138
DL
76.1
#45 of 138
68.4
#118 of 138
LB
75.9
#52 of 138
71.1
#82 of 138
DB
72.6
#63 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Missouri State
opponent
Florida International
H+0.5
NMSU#120
+19.0H
A-11.5
JXST#103
-4.8A
A-6.6
DEL#119
+0.1A
H+7.9
SHSU#125
+14.5H
H-9.4
LIB#77
-8.1A
H-3.4
KENN#113
-2.1A