Passing
LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- LIB offense
- #47
- MOST defense
- #122
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.36
#122
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 2:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
LIB 72.7%27.3% MOST
- Projected margin
- LIB by 9.4
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- LIB 28 to MOST 9
- Win probability
- LIB 72.7%
Current team profiles
Liberty
Missouri StateWhen Liberty has the ball
Rushing
LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- LIB offense
- #55
- MOST defense
- #112
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
0.15
#112
Rush EPA
Drive success
LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- LIB offense
- #30
- MOST defense
- #134
Success rates
48%
#30
50%
#134
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#63
0.25
#131
EPA / play
1.13
#119
1.07
#13
Explosiveness
14%
#56
14%
#95
Havoc
When Missouri State has the ball
Passing
LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- LIB defense
- #15
- MOST offense
- #92
EPA comparison
-0.04
#15
0.13
#92
Pass EPA
Rushing
LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- LIB defense
- #73
- MOST offense
- #92
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.05
#92
Rush EPA
Drive success
LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- LIB defense
- #13
- MOST offense
- #108
Success rates
34%
#13
39%
#108
Success rate
More metrics
-0.04
#28
0.07
#100
EPA / play
1.34
#115
1.22
#78
Explosiveness
19%
#24
17%
#106
Havoc
Current key players
LibertyQBDeshawn Purdie
936 yds · 7 TD · 0 INT
75.9106/729
RBKam Davis
457 yds · 3 TD · 7.1 YPC
85.138/1044
WRMakai Jackson
19 rec · 469 yds · 5 TD
80.848/2069
SIzaiah Guy
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.3
- Coverage
- 69.2
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 16
- Passer rating allowed
- 48.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.779/2969
CBElijah Hopkins
8 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.4
- Coverage
- 74.8
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 58.9
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.6170/2969
SJayden Davis
6 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 54.2
- Coverage
- 76.3
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 7
- Passer rating allowed
- 18.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
71.9330/2969
Availability reports · 4
- J. Marshall · RBout · 2026-10-08
Marshall is hampered by leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Bo Burklow · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Burklow is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against the Kennesaw State on Thursday, Octo
- Caleb Ryan · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Ryan is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.
- Cam Wood · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Wood is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will face the Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.
Missouri StateQBSkyler Locklear
699 yds · 4 TD · 1 INT
73.6126/729
CBJoel Boamah
15 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.9
- Coverage
- 81.2
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 127
- Passer rating allowed
- 54.6
- Missed tackles
- 1
80.950/2969
WRIsaiah Myers
17 rec · 342 yds · 2 TD
80.749/2069
RBRamone Green Jr.
186 yds · 2 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.0152/1044
SJerrick Martin
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.7
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.3185/2969
TECash Pomeroy
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 77.2
- Penalties
- 0
74.648/1017
Availability reports · 3
- James Rexroat · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Rexroat is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Kennesaw State on Wednesday.
- Makai Cope · WRQues. · 2026-09-20
Cope is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Mustangs on Saturday, September 26th.
- Josh Joyner · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Joyner is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Kennesaw State on Wednesday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
LIBLiberty
MOSTMissouri State
vs
Offense
75.9
#79 of 138
QB
Quarterback
73.6
#88 of 138
81.0
#31 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.7
#75 of 138
69.8
#84 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.9
#94 of 138
69.8
#67 of 138
TE
Tight ends
74.6
#38 of 138
72.2
#32 of 138
OL
Offensive line
73.1
#27 of 138
Defense
70.0
#106 of 138
DL
Defensive line
66.7
#132 of 138
66.2
#130 of 138
LB
Linebackers
68.4
#118 of 138
73.2
#54 of 138
DB
Secondary
71.1
#82 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Liberty
opponent
Missouri State
Hhome+11.4
WKUWestern Kentucky#122-21.0Aaway
Hhome+32.0
SHSUSam Houston#125+7.9Hhome
Aaway+16.0
DELDelaware#119-6.6Aaway
Hhome+8.1
FIUFlorida International#99-9.3Aaway
Aaway+3.4
KENNKennesaw State#113-3.4Hhome
Aaway+7.2
NMSUNew Mexico State#120+0.5Hhome