Passing
No comparison
- LIN offense
- —
- MOST defense
- #122
EPA comparison
—
0.36
#122
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
LIN 12.9%87.1% MOST
- Projected margin
- MOST by 18.4
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- LIN 4 to MOST 40
- Win probability
- MOST 87.1%
FinalLIN 14 · MOST 48model had +18.4, off by 15.6
Current team profiles
Lindenwood
Missouri StateWhen Lindenwood has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- LIN offense
- —
- MOST defense
- #112
EPA comparison
—
0.15
#112
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- LIN offense
- #50
- MOST defense
- #134
Success rates
44%
#50
50%
#134
Success rate
More metrics
0.16
#41
0.25
#131
EPA / play
0.21
#52
1.07
#13
Explosiveness
—
14%
#95
Havoc
When Missouri State has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- LIN defense
- —
- MOST offense
- #92
EPA comparison
—
0.13
#92
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- LIN defense
- —
- MOST offense
- #92
EPA comparison
—
0.05
#92
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- LIN defense
- #89
- MOST offense
- #108
Success rates
46%
#89
39%
#108
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#73
0.07
#100
EPA / play
0.22
#95
1.22
#78
Explosiveness
—
17%
#106
Havoc
Current key players
LindenwoodDLMason Burke
12 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.8
- Pressures
- 10
- Pass-rush snaps
- 75
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.5112/1549
KWill Graham
6/8 FG · 0%
73.351/416
DLAshtin Rustemeyer
10 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.2
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 83
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.0219/1549
LBElijah Thomas
10 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 59.6
- Coverage
- 74.4
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.0181/1054
DBIsaac Edwards
7 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.9
- Coverage
- 71.0
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 28
- Passer rating allowed
- 35.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
71.0335/1765
LBMason Van Der Brink
14 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 64.9
- Coverage
- 66.5
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 3
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
70.2245/1054
Missouri StateQBSkyler Locklear
699 yds · 4 TD · 1 INT
73.6126/729
CBJoel Boamah
15 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.9
- Coverage
- 81.2
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 127
- Passer rating allowed
- 54.6
- Missed tackles
- 1
80.950/2969
WRIsaiah Myers
17 rec · 342 yds · 2 TD
80.749/2069
RBRamone Green Jr.
186 yds · 2 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.0152/1044
SJerrick Martin
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.7
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.3185/2969
TECash Pomeroy
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 77.2
- Penalties
- 0
74.648/1017
Availability reports · 3
- James Rexroat · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Rexroat is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Kennesaw State on Wednesday.
- Makai Cope · WRQues. · 2026-09-20
Cope is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Mustangs on Saturday, September 26th.
- Josh Joyner · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Joyner is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Kennesaw State on Wednesday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
LINLindenwood
MOSTMissouri State
vs
Offense
61.0
#105 of 125
QB
Quarterback
73.6
#88 of 138
69.7
#78 of 126
RB
Running backs
74.7
#75 of 138
61.1
#124 of 126
WR
Receivers
68.9
#94 of 138
59.0
#103 of 124
TE
Tight ends
74.6
#38 of 138
59.8
#113 of 125
OL
Offensive line
73.1
#27 of 138
Defense
68.2
#96 of 126
DL
Defensive line
66.7
#132 of 138
70.8
#68 of 126
LB
Linebackers
68.4
#118 of 138
63.6
#125 of 126
DB
Secondary
71.1
#82 of 138