AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 11:00 PM
Away
Lindenwood
—
23p
#125Home
Missouri State
0-0 · AVR 30.2
33p
LIN 23%77% MOST
Spread
MOST -10.6
Total
56
Moneyline
LIN+342MOST-342
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Missouri State
WRJmariyae Robinson
76.828/777
LBJared Lloyd
62.0256/878
RBRamone Green Jr.
61.893/514
TEJeron Askren
59.458/287
LBCooper Roy
55.4383/878
SDylan Dixson
53.2670/1427

Projected margin

80% between -6 and 27
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKMOST +10.695% interval: -12.4 to 33.680% interval: -6.1 to 27.3-6+27LIN wins 23%MOST wins 77%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ MOST 35–21 LINMOST 32–46 LIN neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesMOST 35–42 LIN neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesMOST 39–39 LIN neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMOST 42–35 LIN neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesMOST 46–32 LIN neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesMOST 49–28 LIN neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMOST 53–25 LIN neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesMOST 56–21 LIN neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesMOST 60–18 LIN neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesMOST 28–42 LIN neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesMOST 32–39 LIN neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesMOST 35–35 LIN neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesMOST 39–32 LIN neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesMOST 42–28 LIN neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesMOST 46–25 LIN neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesMOST 49–21 LIN neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesMOST 53–18 LIN neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesMOST 56–14 LIN neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesMOST 25–39 LIN neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesMOST 28–35 LIN neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMOST 32–32 LIN neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesMOST 35–28 LIN neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesMOST 39–25 LIN neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesMOST 42–21 LIN neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesMOST 46–18 LIN neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMOST 49–14 LIN neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesMOST 53–11 LIN neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesMOST 21–35 LIN neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesMOST 25–32 LIN neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMOST 28–28 LIN neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesMOST 32–25 LIN neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesMOST 35–21 LIN neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesMOST 39–18 LIN neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesMOST 42–14 LIN neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMOST 46–11 LIN neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesMOST 49–7 LIN neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesMOST 18–32 LIN neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesMOST 21–28 LIN neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMOST 25–25 LIN neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesMOST 28–21 LIN neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesMOST 32–18 LIN neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesMOST 35–14 LIN neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesMOST 39–11 LIN neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMOST 42–7 LIN neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesMOST 46–4 LIN neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesMOST 14–28 LIN neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesMOST 18–25 LIN neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesMOST 21–21 LIN neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesMOST 25–18 LIN neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesMOST 28–14 LIN neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesMOST 32–11 LIN neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesMOST 35–7 LIN neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesMOST 39–4 LIN neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesMOST 42–0 LIN neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesMOST 11–25 LIN neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesMOST 14–21 LIN neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesMOST 18–18 LIN neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMOST 21–14 LIN neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesMOST 25–11 LIN neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesMOST 28–7 LIN neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMOST 32–4 LIN neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesMOST 35–0 LIN neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalLIN +14PKMOST +14MOST +28MOST +42margin →