Passing
NMSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU offense
- #108
- MOST defense
- #122
EPA comparison
0.09
#108
0.36
#122
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 3:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NMSU 49.0%51.0% MOST
- Projected margin
- MOST by 0.5
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- NMSU 18 to MOST 19
- Win probability
- MOST 51.0%
Current team profiles
New Mexico State
Missouri StateWhen New Mexico State has the ball
Rushing
NMSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU offense
- #88
- MOST defense
- #112
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
0.15
#112
Rush EPA
Drive success
NMSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU offense
- #99
- MOST defense
- #134
Success rates
41%
#99
50%
#134
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#115
0.25
#131
EPA / play
1.38
#12
1.07
#13
Explosiveness
17%
#119
14%
#95
Havoc
When Missouri State has the ball
Passing
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU defense
- #41
- MOST offense
- #92
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.13
#92
Pass EPA
Rushing
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU defense
- #84
- MOST offense
- #92
EPA comparison
0.07
#84
0.05
#92
Rush EPA
Drive success
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NMSU defense
- #67
- MOST offense
- #108
Success rates
40%
#67
39%
#108
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#60
0.07
#100
EPA / play
1.16
#36
1.22
#78
Explosiveness
14%
#97
17%
#106
Havoc
Current key players
New Mexico StateQBAdam Damante
345 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
90.913/729
CBTwan Wilson
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.2
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
83.931/2969
LBDrake Williams
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.6
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.984/1796
SNick Session
38 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.8
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 125
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.3
- Missed tackles
- 7
79.767/2969
RBJalen Brown
68 yds · 0 TD · 13.6 YPC
78.2105/1044
CBDe'Marcus Peters
18 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.9
- Coverage
- 77.0
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 144
- Passer rating allowed
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.4112/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Ilya Uvaydov · KQues. · 2026-10-08
Uvaydov is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 21th.
- Ray Lotten · TEQues. · 2026-10-08
Lotten is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2
- Roscoe Burton · RBQues. · 2026-10-08
Burton is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2
Missouri StateQBSkyler Locklear
699 yds · 4 TD · 1 INT
73.6126/729
CBJoel Boamah
15 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.9
- Coverage
- 81.2
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 127
- Passer rating allowed
- 54.6
- Missed tackles
- 1
80.950/2969
WRIsaiah Myers
17 rec · 342 yds · 2 TD
80.749/2069
RBRamone Green Jr.
186 yds · 2 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.0152/1044
SJerrick Martin
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.7
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.3185/2969
TECash Pomeroy
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 77.2
- Penalties
- 0
74.648/1017
Availability reports · 3
- James Rexroat · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Rexroat is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Kennesaw State on Wednesday.
- Makai Cope · WRQues. · 2026-09-20
Cope is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Mustangs on Saturday, September 26th.
- Josh Joyner · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Joyner is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Kennesaw State on Wednesday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NMSUNew Mexico State
MOSTMissouri State
vs
Offense
90.9
#13 of 138
QB
Quarterback
73.6
#88 of 138
77.6
#50 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.7
#75 of 138
72.3
#55 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.9
#94 of 138
75.9
#34 of 138
TE
Tight ends
74.6
#38 of 138
65.9
#88 of 138
OL
Offensive line
73.1
#27 of 138
Defense
74.3
#61 of 138
DL
Defensive line
66.7
#132 of 138
70.9
#98 of 138
LB
Linebackers
68.4
#118 of 138
76.8
#18 of 138
DB
Secondary
71.1
#82 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
New Mexico State
opponent
Missouri State
Hhome+21.0
WKUWestern Kentucky#122-21.0Aaway
Aaway-19.0
FIUFlorida International#99-9.3Aaway
Hhome-4.0
JXSTJacksonville State#103-11.5Aaway
Hhome+0.9
DELDelaware#119-6.6Aaway
Aaway+4.8
SHSUSam Houston#125+7.9Hhome
Hhome-7.2
LIBLiberty#77-9.4Hhome