Passing
SHSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU offense
- #98
- MOST defense
- #122
EPA comparison
0.12
#98
0.36
#122
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 9 · Tue Oct 27 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SHSU 30.7%69.3% MOST
- Projected margin
- MOST by 7.9
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- SHSU 11 to MOST 26
- Win probability
- MOST 69.3%
Current team profiles
Sam Houston
Missouri StateWhen Sam Houston has the ball
Rushing
SHSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU offense
- #110
- MOST defense
- #112
EPA comparison
0.00
#110
0.15
#112
Rush EPA
Drive success
SHSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU offense
- #96
- MOST defense
- #134
Success rates
41%
#96
50%
#134
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#107
0.25
#131
EPA / play
1.28
#41
1.07
#13
Explosiveness
18%
#122
14%
#95
Havoc
When Missouri State has the ball
Passing
SHSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU defense
- #26
- MOST offense
- #92
EPA comparison
0.01
#26
0.13
#92
Pass EPA
Rushing
MOST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU defense
- #134
- MOST offense
- #92
EPA comparison
0.26
#134
0.05
#92
Rush EPA
Drive success
SHSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU defense
- #95
- MOST offense
- #108
Success rates
43%
#95
39%
#108
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#98
0.07
#100
EPA / play
1.22
#70
1.22
#78
Explosiveness
20%
#18
17%
#106
Havoc
Current key players
Sam HoustonQBBrett Holloway
64 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
90.619/729
SCameron Franklin
7 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.3
- Coverage
- 85.4
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 12
- Passer rating allowed
- 29.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
87.416/2969
LBCa'lub Holloway
3 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
85.235/1796
RBAh'Marion Gaines-Smith
21 yds · 0 TD · 7.0 YPC
77.0136/1044
LBCole Worthington
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.2210/1796
SRailyn Adams
18 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.4
- Coverage
- 71.2
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 26
- Passer rating allowed
- 7.3
- Missed tackles
- 5
73.9235/2969
Availability reports · 2
- Brock Kuhl · TEout · 2026-10-08
Kuhl is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Max Whisner · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Whisner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Hilltoppers on Wednesday.
Missouri StateQBSkyler Locklear
699 yds · 4 TD · 1 INT
73.6126/729
CBJoel Boamah
15 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.9
- Coverage
- 81.2
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 127
- Passer rating allowed
- 54.6
- Missed tackles
- 1
80.950/2969
WRIsaiah Myers
17 rec · 342 yds · 2 TD
80.749/2069
RBRamone Green Jr.
186 yds · 2 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.0152/1044
SJerrick Martin
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.7
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.3185/2969
TECash Pomeroy
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 77.2
- Penalties
- 0
74.648/1017
Availability reports · 3
- James Rexroat · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Rexroat is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Kennesaw State on Wednesday.
- Makai Cope · WRQues. · 2026-09-20
Cope is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Mustangs on Saturday, September 26th.
- Josh Joyner · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Joyner is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Kennesaw State on Wednesday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
SHSUSam Houston
MOSTMissouri State
vs
Offense
90.6
#17 of 138
QB
Quarterback
73.6
#88 of 138
75.4
#71 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.7
#75 of 138
70.0
#80 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.9
#94 of 138
63.3
#102 of 138
TE
Tight ends
74.6
#38 of 138
65.6
#90 of 138
OL
Offensive line
73.1
#27 of 138
Defense
74.7
#56 of 138
DL
Defensive line
66.7
#132 of 138
76.7
#47 of 138
LB
Linebackers
68.4
#118 of 138
73.4
#52 of 138
DB
Secondary
71.1
#82 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Sam Houston
opponent
Missouri State
Aaway-32.0
LIBLiberty#77-9.4Hhome
Hhome-5.9
WKUWestern Kentucky#122-21.0Aaway
Hhome-4.8
NMSUNew Mexico State#120+0.5Hhome
Hhome-8.7
KENNKennesaw State#113-3.4Hhome
Aaway-16.7
JXSTJacksonville State#103-11.5Aaway
Aaway-14.5
FIUFlorida International#99-9.3Aaway