Passing
WKU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MOST offense
- #92
- WKU defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
0.07
#41
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 6 · Thu Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MOST 50.0%50.0% WKU
- Projected margin
- WKU by 0.1
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- MOST 18 to WKU 19
- Win probability
- WKU 50.0%
FinalMOST 13 · WKU 34model had -0.1, off by 21.1
Current team profiles
Missouri StateWestern KentuckyWhen Missouri State has the ball
Rushing
MOST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MOST offense
- #92
- WKU defense
- #137
EPA comparison
0.05
#92
0.30
#137
Rush EPA
Drive success
WKU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MOST offense
- #108
- WKU defense
- #82
Success rates
39%
#108
42%
#82
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#100
0.18
#118
EPA / play
1.22
#78
1.43
#133
Explosiveness
17%
#106
14%
#106
Havoc
When Western Kentucky has the ball
Passing
WKU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MOST defense
- #122
- WKU offense
- #114
EPA comparison
0.36
#122
0.07
#114
Pass EPA
Rushing
MOST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MOST defense
- #112
- WKU offense
- #116
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA
Drive success
WKU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MOST defense
- #134
- WKU offense
- #119
Success rates
50%
#134
38%
#119
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#131
0.03
#113
EPA / play
1.07
#13
1.26
#54
Explosiveness
14%
#95
15%
#84
Havoc
Current key players
Missouri StateQBSkyler Locklear
699 yds · 4 TD · 1 INT
73.6126/729
CBJoel Boamah
15 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.9
- Coverage
- 81.2
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 127
- Passer rating allowed
- 54.6
- Missed tackles
- 1
80.950/2969
WRIsaiah Myers
17 rec · 342 yds · 2 TD
80.749/2069
RBRamone Green Jr.
186 yds · 2 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.0152/1044
SJerrick Martin
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.7
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.3185/2969
TECash Pomeroy
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 77.2
- Penalties
- 0
74.648/1017
Availability reports · 3
- James Rexroat · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Rexroat is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Kennesaw State on Wednesday.
- Makai Cope · WRQues. · 2026-09-20
Cope is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Mustangs on Saturday, September 26th.
- Josh Joyner · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Joyner is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Kennesaw State on Wednesday.
Western KentuckyQBCaleb McMickle
3 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.6230/729
LBJoshua Mensah
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.2
- Coverage
- 71.9
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.0140/1796
WRJonathan Stafford Jr.
30 rec · 266 yds · 0 TD
74.0148/2069
DBBraxton Myers
7 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.2
- Coverage
- 73.4
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 24
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
73.2265/2969
RBKalib Hicks
22 yds · 0 TD · 3.1 YPC
71.3275/1044
DBJaylen Lewis
40 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.7
- Coverage
- 72.7
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 31
- Passer rating allowed
- 119.6
- Missed tackles
- 6
70.1437/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Nigel Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Johnson is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- Griffin Reimer · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Reimer is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- Sincere Baines · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Baines is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- Adrion Boyd · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Boyd is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- K.D. Hutchinson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Hutchinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MOSTMissouri State
WKUWestern Kentucky
vs
Offense
73.6
#88 of 138
QB
Quarterback
63.6
#123 of 138
74.7
#75 of 138
RB
Running backs
68.8
#125 of 138
68.9
#94 of 138
WR
Receivers
69.8
#82 of 138
74.6
#38 of 138
TE
Tight ends
68.9
#70 of 138
73.1
#27 of 138
OL
Offensive line
63.7
#108 of 138
Defense
66.7
#132 of 138
DL
Defensive line
69.4
#114 of 138
68.4
#118 of 138
LB
Linebackers
70.4
#101 of 138
71.1
#82 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.1
#110 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Missouri State
opponent
Western Kentucky
Hhome+0.5
NMSUNew Mexico State#120-21.0Aaway
Aaway-6.6
DELDelaware#119+2.1Hhome
Aaway-11.5
JXSTJacksonville State#103-2.8Hhome
Hhome-3.4
KENNKennesaw State#113-0.1Hhome
Hhome+7.9
SHSUSam Houston#125+5.9Aaway
Hhome-9.4
LIBLiberty#77-11.4Aaway