CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Wed Oct 14 · 7:30 PM ET
Away
Kennesaw State
1-4
27p
Home
Missouri State
1-4
24p
Forecast win probability
KENN 58.6%41.4% MOST
Projected margin
KENN by 3.4
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
KENN 22 to MOST 15
Win probability
KENN 58.6%

Current team profiles

Kennesaw State
Missouri State

When Kennesaw State has the ball

Passing

KENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN offense
#101
MOST defense
#122
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
0.36
#122
Pass EPA

Rushing

KENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN offense
#51
MOST defense
#112
EPA comparison
0.15
#51
0.15
#112
Rush EPA

Drive success

KENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN offense
#53
MOST defense
#134
Success rates
45%
#53
50%
#134
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#87
0.25
#131
EPA / play
1.10
#126
1.07
#13
Explosiveness
14%
#60
14%
#95
Havoc

When Missouri State has the ball

Passing

MOST offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN defense
#107
MOST offense
#92
EPA comparison
0.28
#107
0.13
#92
Pass EPA

Rushing

KENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN defense
#68
MOST offense
#92
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
0.05
#92
Rush EPA

Drive success

KENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN defense
#98
MOST offense
#108
Success rates
43%
#98
39%
#108
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#102
0.07
#100
EPA / play
1.08
#16
1.22
#78
Explosiveness
12%
#125
17%
#106
Havoc

Current key players

Kennesaw State
QBRickie Collins
734 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
79.176/729
LBCorey Kelly
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.6
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
6
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
87.922/1796
RBLatrelle Murrell
154 yds · 2 TD · 7.0 YPC
81.559/1044
LBZay Wilson
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.9
Coverage
61.7
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
13
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.1119/1796
WRJavon Rogers
9 rec · 194 yds · 0 TD
74.4136/2069
WRKeon Davis
3 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD
74.1144/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Zion Booker · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Booker is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be in the lineup against Missouri St. on Wednesday, Octo

  • Gerard Bullock Jr. · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Bullock Jr. is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Missouri St. on Wednesday, October

Missouri State
QBSkyler Locklear
699 yds · 4 TD · 1 INT
73.6126/729
CBJoel Boamah
15 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.9
Coverage
81.2
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
127
Passer rating allowed
54.6
Missed tackles
1
80.950/2969
WRIsaiah Myers
17 rec · 342 yds · 2 TD
80.749/2069
RBRamone Green Jr.
186 yds · 2 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.0152/1044
SJerrick Martin
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
76.8
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
75.3185/2969
TECash Pomeroy
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
77.2
Penalties
0
74.648/1017
Availability reports · 3
  • James Rexroat · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Rexroat is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Kennesaw State on Wednesday.

  • Makai Cope · WRQues. · 2026-09-20

    Cope is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Mustangs on Saturday, September 26th.

  • Josh Joyner · RBQues. · 2026-10-09

    Joyner is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Kennesaw State on Wednesday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

KENN
MOST
vs
Offense
79.1
#60 of 138
QB
73.6
#88 of 138
78.9
#40 of 138
RB
74.7
#75 of 138
72.9
#48 of 138
WR
68.9
#94 of 138
52.4
#136 of 138
TE
74.6
#38 of 138
59.3
#135 of 138
OL
73.1
#27 of 138
Defense
72.2
#82 of 138
DL
66.7
#132 of 138
81.1
#16 of 138
LB
68.4
#118 of 138
69.8
#102 of 138
DB
71.1
#82 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Kennesaw State
opponent
Missouri State
A+0.1
WKU#122
-21.0A
H+2.1
FIU#99
-9.3A
H+4.8
DEL#119
-6.6A
H-1.0
JXST#103
-11.5A
H-3.4
LIB#77
-9.4H
A+8.7
SHSU#125
+7.9H