AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 11:45 PM
Away
McNeese
8p
MCN 0%100% LSU
Spread
LSU -39.5
Total
56
Moneyline
MCNLSU
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
LSU
CBDJ Pickettprobable
93.75/1427
CBPJ Woodland
88.818/1427
SDashawn Spears
87.324/1427
WRTre' Brown
86.311/777
WRWinston Watkins Jr.
71.444/777
LBTJ Dottery
69.2159/878

also out — projected offensive starter, Jamal Adams (CB), Former LSU football star, Decision Means Losing, Daniels Finally Speaks, Malik Nabers (WR)

Projected margin

80% between 23 and 56
-7-3+3+7+14PKLSU +39.595% interval: 16.6 to 62.580% interval: 22.8 to 56.3+23+56MCN wins 0%LSU wins 100%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ LSU 49–7 MCNLSU 46–32 MCN neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesLSU 49–28 MCN neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesLSU 53–25 MCN neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesLSU 56–21 MCN neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesLSU 60–18 MCN neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesLSU 63–14 MCN neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesLSU 67–11 MCN neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesLSU 70–7 MCN neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesLSU 74–4 MCN neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesLSU 42–28 MCN neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesLSU 46–25 MCN neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesLSU 49–21 MCN neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesLSU 53–18 MCN neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesLSU 56–14 MCN neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesLSU 60–11 MCN neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesLSU 63–7 MCN neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesLSU 67–4 MCN neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesLSU 70–0 MCN neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesLSU 39–25 MCN neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesLSU 42–21 MCN neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesLSU 46–18 MCN neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesLSU 49–14 MCN neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesLSU 53–11 MCN neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesLSU 56–7 MCN neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesLSU 60–4 MCN neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesLSU 63–0 MCN neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)LSU 35–21 MCN neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesLSU 39–18 MCN neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesLSU 42–14 MCN neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesLSU 46–11 MCN neighborhood · ~3.9% of outcomesLSU 49–7 MCN neighborhood · ~4.1% of outcomesLSU 53–4 MCN neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesLSU 56–0 MCN neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)LSU 32–18 MCN neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesLSU 35–14 MCN neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesLSU 39–11 MCN neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesLSU 42–7 MCN neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesLSU 46–4 MCN neighborhood · ~3.9% of outcomesLSU 49–0 MCN neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)LSU 28–14 MCN neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesLSU 32–11 MCN neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesLSU 35–7 MCN neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesLSU 39–4 MCN neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesLSU 42–0 MCN neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)LSU 25–11 MCN neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesLSU 28–7 MCN neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesLSU 32–4 MCN neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesLSU 35–0 MCN neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalLSU +14LSU +28LSU +42LSU +56LSU +70margin →