Passing
LSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX offense
- #60
- LSU defense
- #3
EPA comparison
0.26
#60
-0.13
#3
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
TEX 50.8%49.2% LSU
- Projected margin
- TEX by 0.4
- Projected total
- 50
- 80% outcome range
- TEX 19 to LSU 18
- Win probability
- TEX 50.8%
Current team profiles
TexasLSUWhen Texas has the ball
Rushing
LSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX offense
- #93
- LSU defense
- #29
EPA comparison
0.04
#93
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA
Drive success
LSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX offense
- #69
- LSU defense
- #3
Success rates
44%
#69
32%
#3
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#96
-0.10
#10
EPA / play
1.18
#97
1.21
#67
Explosiveness
17%
#110
21%
#8
Havoc
When LSU has the ball
Passing
TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX defense
- #20
- LSU offense
- #24
EPA comparison
0.00
#20
0.40
#24
Pass EPA
Rushing
TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX defense
- #22
- LSU offense
- #42
EPA comparison
-0.09
#22
0.17
#42
Rush EPA
Drive success
LSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX defense
- #25
- LSU offense
- #14
Success rates
35%
#25
50%
#14
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#23
0.26
#27
EPA / play
1.04
#7
1.24
#62
Explosiveness
21%
#10
16%
#88
Havoc
Current key players
TexasQBArch Manning
865 yds · 7 TD · 3 INT
74.8113/729
WRSterling Berkhalter
3 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
83.729/2069
DBJelani McDonald
26 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.2
- Coverage
- 73.5
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 56
- Passer rating allowed
- 118.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.3149/2969
RBHollywood Smothers
198 yds · 2 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.1147/1044
DBGraceson Littleton
14 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 75.0
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.0161/2969
WRCam Coleman
11 rec · 194 yds · 4 TD
70.5246/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Trevor Goosby · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Goosby is dealing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Zion Williams · DLQues. · 2026-10-11
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Kaliq Lockett · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lockett is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Daylan McCutcheon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
McCutcheon is ailing from an illness, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
LSUQBSam Leavitt
1220 yds · 8 TD · 7 INT
84.150/729
LBTJ Dottery
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.7
- Coverage
- 90.5
- Pressures
- 10
- Pass-rush snaps
- 23
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 2
90.211/1796
STamarcus Cooley
12 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 56.2
- Coverage
- 90.6
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 69
- Passer rating allowed
- 29.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
90.09/2969
LBTylen Singleton
8 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.8
- Coverage
- 71.3
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.644/1796
WRCorey Barber Jr.
8 rec · 98 yds · 2 TD
77.090/2069
CBMichael Turner Jr.
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.0
- Coverage
- 79.7
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.0159/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Phillip Wright III · WRout · 2026-09-21
Wright III is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Dashawn Spears · Sout · 2026-09-21
Spears has been sidelined due to a torn ACL, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Trey'Dez Green · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Raycine Guillory Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Guillory Jr. is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
TEXTexas
LSULSU
vs
Offense
74.8
#83 of 138
QB
Quarterback
84.1
#44 of 138
74.0
#82 of 138
RB
Running backs
73.9
#84 of 138
74.5
#37 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.8
#34 of 138
63.2
#103 of 138
TE
Tight ends
72.7
#48 of 138
76.6
#10 of 138
OL
Offensive line
68.5
#63 of 138
Defense
77.9
#24 of 138
DL
Defensive line
78.6
#19 of 138
66.3
#127 of 138
LB
Linebackers
84.5
#6 of 138
70.6
#89 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.8
#20 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Texas
opponent
LSU
Aaway+0.4
TA&MTexas A&M#28+29.0Hhome
Hhome+8.0
MISSOle Miss#14-8.0Aaway
Hhome+22.3
ARKArkansas#71+14.0Aaway
Aaway+3.0
TENNTennessee#21-4.1Aaway
Hhome+13.0
MSSTMississippi State#35+10.0Hhome