Passing
LSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ALA offense
- #22
- LSU defense
- #3
EPA comparison
0.42
#22
-0.13
#3
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ALA 66.0%34.0% LSU
- Projected margin
- ALA by 6.6
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- ALA 25 to LSU 12
- Win probability
- ALA 66.0%
Current team profiles
AlabamaLSUWhen Alabama has the ball
Rushing
ALA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ALA offense
- #9
- LSU defense
- #29
EPA comparison
0.27
#9
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA
Drive success
LSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ALA offense
- #15
- LSU defense
- #3
Success rates
50%
#15
32%
#3
Success rate
More metrics
0.33
#7
-0.10
#10
EPA / play
1.32
#25
1.21
#67
Explosiveness
16%
#94
21%
#8
Havoc
When LSU has the ball
Passing
LSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ALA defense
- #55
- LSU offense
- #24
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
0.40
#24
Pass EPA
Rushing
ALA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ALA defense
- #8
- LSU offense
- #42
EPA comparison
-0.17
#8
0.17
#42
Rush EPA
Drive success
LSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ALA defense
- #30
- LSU offense
- #14
Success rates
35%
#30
50%
#14
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#17
0.26
#27
EPA / play
1.37
#122
1.24
#62
Explosiveness
20%
#22
16%
#88
Havoc
Current key players
AlabamaQBKeelon Russell
1414 yds · 11 TD · 2 INT
92.54/729
RBEJ Crowell
204 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
90.38/1044
LBLuke Metz
36 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.1
- Coverage
- 84.7
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 25
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
87.223/1796
TEMarshall Pritchett
7 rec · 148 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 73.8
- Run blocking
- 74.2
- Penalties
- 1
82.817/1017
WRNoah Rogers
3 rec · 55 yds · 0 TD
81.844/2069
LBDesmond Umeozulu
6 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.3
- Coverage
- 62.2
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 30
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.798/1796
Availability reports · 2
- Josh Ford · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Ford is nursing with a arm injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.
- Aubrey Walker · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Walker is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.
LSUQBSam Leavitt
1220 yds · 8 TD · 7 INT
84.150/729
LBTJ Dottery
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.7
- Coverage
- 90.5
- Pressures
- 10
- Pass-rush snaps
- 23
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 2
90.211/1796
STamarcus Cooley
12 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 56.2
- Coverage
- 90.6
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 69
- Passer rating allowed
- 29.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
90.09/2969
LBTylen Singleton
8 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.8
- Coverage
- 71.3
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.644/1796
WRCorey Barber Jr.
8 rec · 98 yds · 2 TD
77.090/2069
CBMichael Turner Jr.
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.0
- Coverage
- 79.7
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.0159/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Phillip Wright III · WRout · 2026-09-21
Wright III is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Dashawn Spears · Sout · 2026-09-21
Spears has been sidelined due to a torn ACL, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Trey'Dez Green · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Raycine Guillory Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Guillory Jr. is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ALAAlabama
LSULSU
vs
Offense
92.5
#3 of 138
QB
Quarterback
84.1
#44 of 138
84.4
#12 of 138
RB
Running backs
73.9
#84 of 138
76.3
#29 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.8
#34 of 138
82.8
#17 of 138
TE
Tight ends
72.7
#48 of 138
71.7
#38 of 138
OL
Offensive line
68.5
#63 of 138
Defense
79.7
#17 of 138
DL
Defensive line
78.6
#19 of 138
81.5
#14 of 138
LB
Linebackers
84.5
#6 of 138
72.1
#69 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.8
#20 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Alabama
opponent
LSU
Aaway+28.0
UKKentucky#40-1.0Aaway
Aaway+33.0
MSSTMississippi State#35+10.0Hhome
Hhome+11.9
TA&MTexas A&M#28+29.0Hhome
Hhome+18.0
AUBAuburn#42+3.4Aaway
Aaway+5.2
TENNTennessee#21-4.1Aaway