Passing
LSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST offense
- #19
- LSU defense
- #3
EPA comparison
0.43
#19
-0.13
#3
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MSST 25.6%74.4% LSU
- Projected margin
- LSU by 10.0
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- MSST 9 to LSU 29
- Win probability
- LSU 74.4%
Current team profiles
Mississippi StateLSUWhen Mississippi State has the ball
Rushing
LSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST offense
- #30
- LSU defense
- #29
EPA comparison
0.20
#30
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA
Drive success
LSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST offense
- #29
- LSU defense
- #3
Success rates
48%
#29
32%
#3
Success rate
More metrics
0.28
#24
-0.10
#10
EPA / play
1.32
#27
1.21
#67
Explosiveness
14%
#63
21%
#8
Havoc
When LSU has the ball
Passing
LSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST defense
- #75
- LSU offense
- #24
EPA comparison
0.16
#75
0.40
#24
Pass EPA
Rushing
LSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST defense
- #73
- LSU offense
- #42
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.17
#42
Rush EPA
Drive success
LSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST defense
- #78
- LSU offense
- #14
Success rates
41%
#78
50%
#14
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#88
0.26
#27
EPA / play
1.16
#40
1.24
#62
Explosiveness
17%
#43
16%
#88
Havoc
Current key players
Mississippi StateQBKamario Taylor
1450 yds · 17 TD · 4 INT
73.0130/729
RBJ.J. Hill
124 yds · 2 TD · 12.4 YPC
90.09/1044
CBJett Jefferson
25 tkl · 8 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.9
- Coverage
- 83.8
- Targets allowed
- 31
- Rec allowed
- 15
- Yards allowed
- 164
- Passer rating allowed
- 96.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
85.124/2969
WRAnthony Evans III
40 rec · 574 yds · 5 TD
82.834/2069
SJardin Gilbert
26 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.2
- Coverage
- 71.2
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 158.3
- Missed tackles
- 2
77.8100/2969
SIsaac Smith
17 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.3
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 24
- Passer rating allowed
- 66.7
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.6171/2969
Availability reports · 4
- A. Williams · WRout · 2026-10-01
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unlikely to play Saturday against the Alabama.
- Trevion Williams · DLout · 2026-09-26
Williams is sidelined due to Leg injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Bull Mitchell · WRout · 2026-09-20
Mitchell is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Jamari Freeman · OGQues. · 2026-10-03
Freeman is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against LSU on Saturday, October 10th.
LSUQBSam Leavitt
1220 yds · 8 TD · 7 INT
84.150/729
LBTJ Dottery
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.7
- Coverage
- 90.5
- Pressures
- 10
- Pass-rush snaps
- 23
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 2
90.211/1796
STamarcus Cooley
12 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 56.2
- Coverage
- 90.6
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 69
- Passer rating allowed
- 29.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
90.09/2969
LBTylen Singleton
8 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.8
- Coverage
- 71.3
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.644/1796
WRCorey Barber Jr.
8 rec · 98 yds · 2 TD
77.090/2069
CBMichael Turner Jr.
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.0
- Coverage
- 79.7
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.0159/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Phillip Wright III · WRout · 2026-09-21
Wright III is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Dashawn Spears · Sout · 2026-09-21
Spears has been sidelined due to a torn ACL, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Trey'Dez Green · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Raycine Guillory Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Guillory Jr. is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MSSTMississippi State
LSULSU
vs
Offense
73.0
#89 of 138
QB
Quarterback
84.1
#44 of 138
89.0
#3 of 138
RB
Running backs
73.9
#84 of 138
75.4
#32 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.8
#34 of 138
64.6
#92 of 138
TE
Tight ends
72.7
#48 of 138
63.3
#113 of 138
OL
Offensive line
68.5
#63 of 138
Defense
73.2
#66 of 138
DL
Defensive line
78.6
#19 of 138
66.7
#126 of 138
LB
Linebackers
84.5
#6 of 138
76.3
#22 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.8
#20 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Mississippi State
opponent
LSU
Hhome-33.0
ALAAlabama#3-6.6Hhome
Aaway-13.0
TEXTexas#7-0.4Hhome
Hhome+1.4
AUBAuburn#42+3.4Aaway
Aaway-7.6
MISSOle Miss#14-8.0Aaway