Passing
LSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- LSU offense
- #24
- UK defense
- #60
EPA comparison
0.40
#24
0.11
#60
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
LSU 68.9%31.1% UK
- Projected margin
- LSU by 7.7
- Projected total
- 47
- 80% outcome range
- LSU 28 to UK 11
- Win probability
- LSU 68.9%
FinalLSU 34 · UK 35model had -7.7, off by 8.7
Current team profiles
LSU
KentuckyWhen LSU has the ball
Rushing
LSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- LSU offense
- #42
- UK defense
- #81
EPA comparison
0.17
#42
0.06
#81
Rush EPA
Drive success
LSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- LSU offense
- #14
- UK defense
- #109
Success rates
50%
#14
44%
#109
Success rate
More metrics
0.26
#27
0.04
#56
EPA / play
1.24
#62
1.17
#44
Explosiveness
16%
#88
18%
#36
Havoc
When Kentucky has the ball
Passing
LSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- LSU defense
- #3
- UK offense
- #66
EPA comparison
-0.13
#3
0.24
#66
Pass EPA
Rushing
LSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- LSU defense
- #29
- UK offense
- #35
EPA comparison
-0.06
#29
0.19
#35
Rush EPA
Drive success
LSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- LSU defense
- #3
- UK offense
- #20
Success rates
32%
#3
50%
#20
Success rate
More metrics
-0.10
#10
0.21
#43
EPA / play
1.21
#67
1.15
#106
Explosiveness
21%
#8
13%
#39
Havoc
Current key players
LSUQBSam Leavitt
1220 yds · 8 TD · 7 INT
84.150/729
LBTJ Dottery
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.7
- Coverage
- 90.5
- Pressures
- 10
- Pass-rush snaps
- 23
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 2
90.211/1796
STamarcus Cooley
12 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 56.2
- Coverage
- 90.6
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 69
- Passer rating allowed
- 29.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
90.09/2969
LBTylen Singleton
8 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.8
- Coverage
- 71.3
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.644/1796
WRCorey Barber Jr.
8 rec · 98 yds · 2 TD
77.090/2069
CBMichael Turner Jr.
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.0
- Coverage
- 79.7
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.0159/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Phillip Wright III · WRout · 2026-09-21
Wright III is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Dashawn Spears · Sout · 2026-09-21
Spears has been sidelined due to a torn ACL, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Trey'Dez Green · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Raycine Guillory Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Guillory Jr. is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
KentuckyQBKenny Minchey
1148 yds · 11 TD · 1 INT
63.0239/729
RBJason Patterson
355 yds · 3 TD · 7.9 YPC
86.228/1044
WRKenny Darby
25 rec · 322 yds · 3 TD
81.147/2069
TEElijah Brown
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 66.8
- Run blocking
- 78.1
- Penalties
- 0
80.524/1017
LBAntwan Smith
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.9
- Coverage
- 64.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.9220/1796
LBSam Greene
17 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.3
- Coverage
- 66.7
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 68
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 2
73.6234/1796
Availability reports · 2
- Tovani Mizell · RBout · 2026-08-22
Mizell is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Lincoln Watkins · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Watkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against Sooners on Saturday, October
Position units
Position-unit comparison
LSULSU
UKKentucky
vs
Offense
84.1
#44 of 138
QB
Quarterback
63.0
#126 of 138
73.9
#84 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.1
#30 of 138
74.8
#34 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.6
#75 of 138
72.7
#48 of 138
TE
Tight ends
80.5
#24 of 138
68.5
#63 of 138
OL
Offensive line
74.5
#20 of 138
Defense
78.6
#19 of 138
DL
Defensive line
71.6
#90 of 138
84.5
#6 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.1
#95 of 138
76.8
#20 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.3
#92 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
LSU
opponent
Kentucky
Hhome-6.6
ALAAlabama#3-28.0Hhome
Hhome+29.0
TA&MTexas A&M#28+10.0Aaway
Aaway-4.1
TENNTennessee#21-15.5Aaway