Passing
AUB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK offense
- #88
- AUB defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.14
#88
0.07
#41
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ARK 19.7%80.3% AUB
- Projected margin
- AUB by 13.2
- Projected total
- 53
- 80% outcome range
- ARK 5 to AUB 32
- Win probability
- AUB 80.3%
Current team profiles
ArkansasAuburnWhen Arkansas has the ball
Rushing
AUB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK offense
- #134
- AUB defense
- #73
EPA comparison
-0.11
#134
0.05
#73
Rush EPA
Drive success
AUB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK offense
- #96
- AUB defense
- #50
Success rates
41%
#96
38%
#50
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#120
0.01
#44
EPA / play
1.08
#129
1.18
#45
Explosiveness
19%
#126
17%
#57
Havoc
When Auburn has the ball
Passing
ARK defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK defense
- #84
- AUB offense
- #119
EPA comparison
0.19
#84
0.04
#119
Pass EPA
Rushing
AUB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK defense
- #125
- AUB offense
- #39
EPA comparison
0.20
#125
0.18
#39
Rush EPA
Drive success
AUB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK defense
- #100
- AUB offense
- #86
Success rates
43%
#100
42%
#86
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#111
0.07
#98
EPA / play
1.16
#38
1.26
#55
Explosiveness
13%
#111
16%
#102
Havoc
Current key players
ArkansasQBKJ Jackson
1038 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
64.0225/729
WRChris Marshall
35 rec · 517 yds · 2 TD
81.246/2069
LBBen Bogle
36 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.7
- Coverage
- 58.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.799/1796
DBShelton Lewis
13 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.7
- Coverage
- 81.3
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 45
- Passer rating allowed
- 64.6
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.584/2969
DBKhmori House
33 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.7
- Coverage
- 68.2
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 107
- Passer rating allowed
- 94.5
- Missed tackles
- 1
73.2266/2969
WRJelani Watkins
27 rush yds · 0 TD · 3 car
73.0164/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Maddox Lassiter · TEout · 2026-08-16
Lassiter has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an upper body injury.
- H. Hendrix · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Hendrix is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Commodores on Saturday, October 17th.
AuburnQBByrum Brown
1052 yds · 7 TD · 7 INT
83.056/729
LBMichael Matthews-Canty
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.3
- Coverage
- 72.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.447/1796
RBOmar Mabson II
213 yds · 1 TD · 6.5 YPC
77.0133/1044
LBXavier Atkins
37 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.8
- Coverage
- 55.6
- Pressures
- 19
- Pass-rush snaps
- 57
- Missed tackles
- 10
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.1180/1796
SSylvester Smith-Reed
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.1
- Coverage
- 72.2
- Targets allowed
- 12
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 48
- Passer rating allowed
- 32.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
72.5302/2969
WRKeshaun Singleton
29 rec · 322 yds · 1 TD
71.2220/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Nykahi Davenport · RBout · 2026-09-20
Davenport is managing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no time table for his return.
- Hunter Herring · TEQues. · 2026-09-20
Herring is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be available against Commodores on Saturday, September 26th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ARKArkansas
AUBAuburn
vs
Offense
64.0
#122 of 138
QB
Quarterback
83.0
#49 of 138
67.0
#135 of 138
RB
Running backs
73.9
#83 of 138
72.9
#50 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.1
#106 of 138
61.8
#107 of 138
TE
Tight ends
63.5
#100 of 138
64.3
#102 of 138
OL
Offensive line
63.8
#105 of 138
Defense
72.4
#79 of 138
DL
Defensive line
69.2
#115 of 138
70.2
#103 of 138
LB
Linebackers
78.2
#35 of 138
70.2
#94 of 138
DB
Secondary
66.7
#131 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Arkansas
opponent
Auburn
Aaway-12.5
VANVanderbilt#58+6.0Hhome
Hhome-28.0
UGAGeorgia#6-15.9Aaway
Hhome-14.0
LSULSU#11-3.4Hhome
Hhome-7.0
TENNTennessee#21-10.0Aaway