CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
AUB 33.6%66.4% MISS
Projected margin
MISS by 6.4
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
AUB 12 to MISS 25
Win probability
MISS 66.4%

Current team profiles

Auburn
Ole Miss

When Auburn has the ball

Passing

MISS defense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB offense
#119
MISS defense
#98
EPA comparison
0.04
#119
0.25
#98
Pass EPA

Rushing

AUB offense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB offense
#39
MISS defense
#102
EPA comparison
0.18
#39
0.13
#102
Rush EPA

Drive success

AUB offense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB offense
#86
MISS defense
#114
Success rates
42%
#86
45%
#114
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#98
0.15
#105
EPA / play
1.26
#55
1.17
#42
Explosiveness
16%
#102
16%
#65
Havoc

When Ole Miss has the ball

Passing

MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB defense
#41
MISS offense
#15
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.45
#15
Pass EPA

Rushing

MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB defense
#73
MISS offense
#42
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.17
#42
Rush EPA

Drive success

MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB defense
#50
MISS offense
#4
Success rates
38%
#50
53%
#4
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#44
0.27
#26
EPA / play
1.18
#45
1.13
#115
Explosiveness
17%
#57
13%
#37
Havoc

Current key players

Auburn
QBByrum Brown
1052 yds · 7 TD · 7 INT
83.056/729
LBMichael Matthews-Canty
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.3
Coverage
72.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.447/1796
RBOmar Mabson II
213 yds · 1 TD · 6.5 YPC
77.0133/1044
LBXavier Atkins
37 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.8
Coverage
55.6
Pressures
19
Pass-rush snaps
57
Missed tackles
10
Forced fumbles
0
75.1180/1796
SSylvester Smith-Reed
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.1
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
48
Passer rating allowed
32.6
Missed tackles
2
72.5302/2969
WRKeshaun Singleton
29 rec · 322 yds · 1 TD
71.2220/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Nykahi Davenport · RBout · 2026-09-20

    Davenport is managing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no time table for his return.

  • Hunter Herring · TEQues. · 2026-09-20

    Herring is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be available against Commodores on Saturday, September 26th.

Ole Miss
QBTrinidad Chambliss
1222 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
85.044/729
TECaleb Odom
13 rec · 201 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.8
Run blocking
70.3
Penalties
1
79.427/1017
WRDeuce Alexander
27 rec · 429 yds · 4 TD
78.567/2069
WRDillon Alfred
1 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
77.185/2069
RBKewan Lacy
191 yds · 4 TD · 4.9 YPC
76.0150/1044
CBDorian Barney
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.4
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
73.5256/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Izaiah Hartrup · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hartrup is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

AUB
MISS
vs
Offense
83.0
#49 of 138
QB
85.0
#40 of 138
73.9
#83 of 138
RB
70.9
#114 of 138
68.1
#106 of 138
WR
77.1
#25 of 138
63.5
#100 of 138
TE
79.4
#26 of 138
63.8
#105 of 138
OL
64.5
#100 of 138
Defense
69.2
#115 of 138
DL
73.0
#71 of 138
78.2
#35 of 138
LB
71.2
#94 of 138
66.7
#131 of 138
DB
69.9
#99 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Auburn
opponent
Ole Miss
H+6.0
VAN#58
+35.0A
H-5.0
FLA#22
-24.0A
H-3.4
LSU#11
+8.0H
A-15.9
UGA#6
-6.9H
A-1.4
MSST#35
+7.6H