CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Foy-ODK Sportsmanship Trophy
Forecast win probability
AUB 12.7%87.3% ALA
Projected margin
ALA by 18.0
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
AUB 1 to ALA 37
Win probability
ALA 87.3%

Current team profiles

Auburn
Alabama

When Auburn has the ball

Passing

ALA defense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB offense
#119
ALA defense
#55
EPA comparison
0.04
#119
0.10
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

ALA defense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB offense
#39
ALA defense
#8
EPA comparison
0.18
#39
-0.17
#8
Rush EPA

Drive success

ALA defense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB offense
#86
ALA defense
#30
Success rates
42%
#86
35%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#98
-0.06
#17
EPA / play
1.26
#55
1.37
#122
Explosiveness
16%
#102
20%
#22
Havoc

When Alabama has the ball

Passing

ALA offense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB defense
#41
ALA offense
#22
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.42
#22
Pass EPA

Rushing

ALA offense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB defense
#73
ALA offense
#9
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.27
#9
Rush EPA

Drive success

ALA offense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB defense
#50
ALA offense
#15
Success rates
38%
#50
50%
#15
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#44
0.33
#7
EPA / play
1.18
#45
1.32
#25
Explosiveness
17%
#57
16%
#94
Havoc

Current key players

Auburn
QBByrum Brown
1052 yds · 7 TD · 7 INT
83.056/729
LBMichael Matthews-Canty
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.3
Coverage
72.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.447/1796
RBOmar Mabson II
213 yds · 1 TD · 6.5 YPC
77.0133/1044
LBXavier Atkins
37 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.8
Coverage
55.6
Pressures
19
Pass-rush snaps
57
Missed tackles
10
Forced fumbles
0
75.1180/1796
SSylvester Smith-Reed
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.1
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
48
Passer rating allowed
32.6
Missed tackles
2
72.5302/2969
WRKeshaun Singleton
29 rec · 322 yds · 1 TD
71.2220/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Nykahi Davenport · RBout · 2026-09-20

    Davenport is managing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no time table for his return.

  • Hunter Herring · TEQues. · 2026-09-20

    Herring is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be available against Commodores on Saturday, September 26th.

Alabama
QBKeelon Russell
1414 yds · 11 TD · 2 INT
92.54/729
RBEJ Crowell
204 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
90.38/1044
LBLuke Metz
36 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.1
Coverage
84.7
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
25
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
87.223/1796
TEMarshall Pritchett
7 rec · 148 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
73.8
Run blocking
74.2
Penalties
1
82.817/1017
WRNoah Rogers
3 rec · 55 yds · 0 TD
81.844/2069
LBDesmond Umeozulu
6 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.3
Coverage
62.2
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
30
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.798/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • Josh Ford · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ford is nursing with a arm injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Aubrey Walker · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Walker is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

AUB
ALA
vs
Offense
83.0
#49 of 138
QB
92.5
#3 of 138
73.9
#83 of 138
RB
84.4
#12 of 138
68.1
#106 of 138
WR
76.3
#29 of 138
63.5
#100 of 138
TE
82.8
#17 of 138
63.8
#105 of 138
OL
71.7
#38 of 138
Defense
69.2
#115 of 138
DL
79.7
#17 of 138
78.2
#35 of 138
LB
81.5
#14 of 138
66.7
#131 of 138
DB
72.1
#69 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Auburn
opponent
Alabama
A-1.4
MSST#35
+33.0A
A-10.0
TENN#21
+5.2A
A-15.9
UGA#6
-3.0H
H-3.4
LSU#11
+6.6A
H+6.0
VAN#58
+13.4A