CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
TENN 56.0%44.0% GT
Projected margin
TENN by 2.4
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
TENN 21 to GT 16
Win probability
TENN 56.0%
FinalTENN 45 · GT 24model had -2.4, off by 18.6

Current team profiles

Tennessee
Georgia Tech

When Tennessee has the ball

Passing

TENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN offense
#98
GT defense
#116
EPA comparison
0.12
#98
0.33
#116
Pass EPA

Rushing

TENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN offense
#6
GT defense
#98
EPA comparison
0.29
#6
0.11
#98
Rush EPA

Drive success

TENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN offense
#50
GT defense
#83
Success rates
45%
#50
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#50
0.18
#114
EPA / play
1.21
#87
1.29
#102
Explosiveness
16%
#98
15%
#88
Havoc

When Georgia Tech has the ball

Passing

TENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN defense
#3
GT offense
#66
EPA comparison
-0.13
#3
0.24
#66
Pass EPA

Rushing

GT offense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN defense
#73
GT offense
#63
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.12
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

TENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN defense
#46
GT offense
#59
Success rates
38%
#46
45%
#59
Success rate
More metrics
-0.08
#12
0.17
#62
EPA / play
1.06
#11
1.26
#50
Explosiveness
22%
#6
15%
#79
Havoc

Current key players

Tennessee
QBGeorge MacIntyre
148 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
79.673/729
RBDeSean Bishop
540 yds · 7 TD · 6.1 YPC
82.751/1044
DBDejuan Lane
17 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.0
Coverage
85.8
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
81
Passer rating allowed
67.2
Missed tackles
5
80.457/2969
LBJeremiah Telander
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.8
Coverage
86.1
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
59
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
77.9121/1796
DBTy Redmond
18 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
78.9
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
105
Passer rating allowed
66.6
Missed tackles
3
76.8132/2969
LBAmare Campbell
31 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.2
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
12
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
0
72.9259/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Wendell Moe Jr. · OGout · 2026-09-30

    Moe Jr has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

  • Jaedon Harmon · LBout · 2026-09-07

    Harmon has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to ACL tear.

  • Javin Gordon · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gordon is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bennett Brady · LSQues. · 2026-10-11

    Brady is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October

Georgia Tech
QBAlberto Mendoza
975 yds · 6 TD · 3 INT
78.188/729
LBC.J. Gamble
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
53.3
Coverage
96.2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
94.41/1796
RBJustice Haynes
393 yds · 3 TD · 5.4 YPC
80.667/1044
LBKyle Efford
21 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
64.9
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
75.0182/1796
STae Harris
25 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.7
Coverage
73.2
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
60.0
Missed tackles
5
72.9280/2969
TEKevin Roche Jr.
18 rec · 200 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
70.9
Run blocking
53.4
Penalties
0
72.761/1017
Availability reports · 8
  • Malachi Hosley · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Richardson is battling with a Undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Hokies on Saturday, Octob

  • Jordan Walker · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Walker is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaiven Plummer · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Plummer is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • A.J. Hoffler · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hoffler is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shymeik Jones · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jones is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ethan Mackenny · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    MacKenny is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Coi Jean-Noel · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jean-Noel has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, Octob

  • Darnell Collins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Plummer is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TENN
GT
vs
Offense
79.6
#57 of 138
QB
78.1
#68 of 138
82.0
#23 of 138
RB
76.3
#62 of 138
69.8
#81 of 138
WR
67.0
#119 of 138
70.8
#60 of 138
TE
72.7
#47 of 138
71.9
#36 of 138
OL
59.5
#134 of 138
Defense
81.6
#10 of 138
DL
73.8
#64 of 138
74.0
#70 of 138
LB
80.2
#20 of 138
73.5
#50 of 138
DB
69.1
#109 of 138
Common opponents