CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Kentucky-Tennessee
Forecast win probability
UK 16.0%84.0% TENN
Projected margin
TENN by 15.5
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
UK 3 to TENN 34
Win probability
TENN 84.0%

Current team profiles

Kentucky
Tennessee

When Kentucky has the ball

Passing

TENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
UK offense
#66
TENN defense
#3
EPA comparison
0.24
#66
-0.13
#3
Pass EPA

Rushing

UK offense
Higher-ranked profile
UK offense
#35
TENN defense
#73
EPA comparison
0.19
#35
0.05
#73
Rush EPA

Drive success

UK offense
Higher-ranked profile
UK offense
#20
TENN defense
#46
Success rates
50%
#20
38%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
0.21
#43
-0.08
#12
EPA / play
1.15
#106
1.06
#11
Explosiveness
13%
#39
22%
#6
Havoc

When Tennessee has the ball

Passing

UK defense
Higher-ranked profile
UK defense
#60
TENN offense
#98
EPA comparison
0.11
#60
0.12
#98
Pass EPA

Rushing

TENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
UK defense
#81
TENN offense
#6
EPA comparison
0.06
#81
0.29
#6
Rush EPA

Drive success

TENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
UK defense
#109
TENN offense
#50
Success rates
44%
#109
45%
#50
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#56
0.20
#50
EPA / play
1.17
#44
1.21
#87
Explosiveness
18%
#36
16%
#98
Havoc

Current key players

Kentucky
QBKenny Minchey
1148 yds · 11 TD · 1 INT
63.0239/729
RBJason Patterson
355 yds · 3 TD · 7.9 YPC
86.228/1044
WRKenny Darby
25 rec · 322 yds · 3 TD
81.147/2069
TEElijah Brown
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
66.8
Run blocking
78.1
Penalties
0
80.524/1017
LBAntwan Smith
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.9
Coverage
64.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
73.9220/1796
LBSam Greene
17 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.3
Coverage
66.7
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
68
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
2
73.6234/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • Tovani Mizell · RBout · 2026-08-22

    Mizell is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Lincoln Watkins · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Watkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against Sooners on Saturday, October

Tennessee
QBGeorge MacIntyre
148 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
79.673/729
RBDeSean Bishop
540 yds · 7 TD · 6.1 YPC
82.751/1044
DBDejuan Lane
17 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.0
Coverage
85.8
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
81
Passer rating allowed
67.2
Missed tackles
5
80.457/2969
LBJeremiah Telander
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.8
Coverage
86.1
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
59
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
77.9121/1796
DBTy Redmond
18 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
78.9
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
105
Passer rating allowed
66.6
Missed tackles
3
76.8132/2969
LBAmare Campbell
31 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.2
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
12
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
0
72.9259/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Wendell Moe Jr. · OGout · 2026-09-30

    Moe Jr has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

  • Jaedon Harmon · LBout · 2026-09-07

    Harmon has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to ACL tear.

  • Javin Gordon · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gordon is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bennett Brady · LSQues. · 2026-10-11

    Brady is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UK
TENN
vs
Offense
63.0
#126 of 138
QB
79.6
#57 of 138
81.1
#30 of 138
RB
82.0
#23 of 138
70.6
#75 of 138
WR
69.8
#81 of 138
80.5
#24 of 138
TE
70.8
#60 of 138
74.5
#20 of 138
OL
71.9
#36 of 138
Defense
71.6
#90 of 138
DL
81.6
#10 of 138
71.1
#95 of 138
LB
74.0
#70 of 138
70.3
#92 of 138
DB
73.5
#50 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Kentucky
opponent
Tennessee
H-28.0
ALA#3
-5.2H
A+10.0
TA&M#28
-1.2A
H-2.0
VAN#58
+5.5A
A+1.0
SC#38
+6.8A
H+1.0
LSU#11
+4.1H