CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET
#216Away
Furman
0-0 · AVR 38.3
9
Final
#27Home
Tennessee
0-0 · AVR 64.7
56
Forecast win probability
FUR 0.1%99.9% TENN
Projected margin
TENN by 48.6
Projected total
63
80% outcome range
TENN 28 to TENN 69
Win probability
TENN 99.9%
FinalFUR 9 · TENN 56model had +48.6, off by 1.6

Current team profiles

Furman
Tennessee

When Furman has the ball

Passing

No comparison
FUR offense
—
TENN defense
#3
EPA comparison
—
-0.13
#3
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
FUR offense
—
TENN defense
#73
EPA comparison
—
0.05
#73
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
FUR offense
#110
TENN defense
#46
Success rates
39%
#110
38%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#119
-0.08
#12
EPA / play
0.17
#122
1.06
#11
Explosiveness
—
22%
#6
Havoc

When Tennessee has the ball

Passing

No comparison
FUR defense
—
TENN offense
#98
EPA comparison
—
0.12
#98
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
FUR defense
—
TENN offense
#6
EPA comparison
—
0.29
#6
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
FUR defense
#52
TENN offense
#50
Success rates
43%
#52
45%
#50
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#15
0.20
#50
EPA / play
0.18
#10
1.21
#87
Explosiveness
—
16%
#98
Havoc

Current key players

Furman
RBIsaiah Davis
122 yds · 1 TD · 12.2 YPC
82.719/631
DLRobert Lange Jr.
2 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.2
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
81.527/1549
DBTrevor Short
13 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.2
Coverage
54.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
1
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
1
78.174/1765
LBRyan Earl
39 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.2
Coverage
68.6
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
75.597/1054
DLJoshua Stoneking
21 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.1
Pressures
26
Pass-rush snaps
178
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
1
74.8125/1549
DBBraylon Peebles
37 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
65.3
Coverage
77.7
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
73
Passer rating allowed
71.4
Missed tackles
7
74.8156/1765
Tennessee
QBGeorge MacIntyre
148 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
79.673/729
RBDeSean Bishop
540 yds · 7 TD · 6.1 YPC
82.751/1044
DBDejuan Lane
17 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.0
Coverage
85.8
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
81
Passer rating allowed
67.2
Missed tackles
5
80.457/2969
LBJeremiah Telander
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.8
Coverage
86.1
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
59
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
77.9121/1796
DBTy Redmond
18 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
78.9
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
105
Passer rating allowed
66.6
Missed tackles
3
76.8132/2969
LBAmare Campbell
31 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.2
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
12
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
0
72.9259/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Wendell Moe Jr. · OGout · 2026-09-30

    Moe Jr has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

  • Jaedon Harmon · LBout · 2026-09-07

    Harmon has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to ACL tear.

  • Javin Gordon · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gordon is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bennett Brady · LSQues. · 2026-10-11

    Brady is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

FUR
TENN
vs
Offense
65.8
#88 of 125
QB
79.6
#57 of 138
78.1
#19 of 126
RB
82.0
#23 of 138
61.9
#120 of 126
WR
69.8
#81 of 138
51.3
#124 of 124
TE
70.8
#60 of 138
66.5
#44 of 125
OL
71.9
#36 of 138
Defense
73.7
#33 of 126
DL
81.6
#10 of 138
70.8
#67 of 126
LB
74.0
#70 of 138
74.0
#30 of 126
DB
73.5
#50 of 138
Common opponents