CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
TENN 67.2%32.8% SC
Projected margin
TENN by 6.8
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
TENN 25 to SC 12
Win probability
TENN 67.2%

Current team profiles

Tennessee
South Carolina

When Tennessee has the ball

Passing

TENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN offense
#98
SC defense
#121
EPA comparison
0.12
#98
0.35
#121
Pass EPA

Rushing

TENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN offense
#6
SC defense
#37
EPA comparison
0.29
#6
-0.03
#37
Rush EPA

Drive success

TENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN offense
#50
SC defense
#74
Success rates
45%
#50
41%
#74
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#50
0.13
#96
EPA / play
1.21
#87
1.27
#90
Explosiveness
16%
#98
14%
#101
Havoc

When South Carolina has the ball

Passing

TENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN defense
#3
SC offense
#66
EPA comparison
-0.13
#3
0.24
#66
Pass EPA

Rushing

SC offense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN defense
#73
SC offense
#25
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.22
#25
Rush EPA

Drive success

SC offense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN defense
#46
SC offense
#40
Success rates
38%
#46
47%
#40
Success rate
More metrics
-0.08
#12
0.21
#42
EPA / play
1.06
#11
1.21
#83
Explosiveness
22%
#6
13%
#44
Havoc

Current key players

Tennessee
QBGeorge MacIntyre
148 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
79.673/729
RBDeSean Bishop
540 yds · 7 TD · 6.1 YPC
82.751/1044
DBDejuan Lane
17 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.0
Coverage
85.8
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
81
Passer rating allowed
67.2
Missed tackles
5
80.457/2969
LBJeremiah Telander
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.8
Coverage
86.1
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
59
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
77.9121/1796
DBTy Redmond
18 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
78.9
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
105
Passer rating allowed
66.6
Missed tackles
3
76.8132/2969
LBAmare Campbell
31 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.2
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
12
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
0
72.9259/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Wendell Moe Jr. · OGout · 2026-09-30

    Moe Jr has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

  • Jaedon Harmon · LBout · 2026-09-07

    Harmon has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to ACL tear.

  • Javin Gordon · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gordon is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bennett Brady · LSQues. · 2026-10-11

    Brady is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October

South Carolina
QBLaNorris Sellers
1059 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
68.2180/729
DBKosci Barnes
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.4
Coverage
91.8
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
0
91.93/2969
RBIsaiah Augustave
114 yds · 2 TD · 8.1 YPC
87.421/1044
LBJamian Risher Jr.
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.9
Coverage
66.6
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
73.3249/1796
DBKendall Daniels Jr.
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.4
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
1
Passer rating allowed
42.4
Missed tackles
1
71.9333/2969
DBTriston Lewis
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.1
Coverage
72.6
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
71.7346/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • Dylan Stewart · DLout · 2026-09-20

    Stewart is dealing with a back injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Jayden Gibson · WRout · 2026-08-17

    Gibson is batting with a lower body injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Jayden Sellers · WRout · 2026-08-17

    Sellers is fighting off a lower body injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Jacarrius Peak · OGQues. · 2026-10-08

    Peak is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Florida on Saturday.

  • Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy · DLQues. · 2026-10-08

    Brownlow-Dindy is nursing with a upper body injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Florida on Saturday.

  • Mazeo Bennett Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Florida on Saturday.

  • Lucian Anderson III · QBQues. · 2026-10-08

    Anderson III is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Florida on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TENN
SC
vs
Offense
79.6
#57 of 138
QB
68.2
#110 of 138
82.0
#23 of 138
RB
84.0
#14 of 138
69.8
#81 of 138
WR
64.6
#132 of 138
70.8
#60 of 138
TE
68.6
#76 of 138
71.9
#36 of 138
OL
74.7
#19 of 138
Defense
81.6
#10 of 138
DL
78.9
#18 of 138
74.0
#70 of 138
LB
68.0
#121 of 138
73.5
#50 of 138
DB
75.2
#30 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Tennessee
opponent
South Carolina
H-5.2
ALA#3
-31.0A
H+15.5
UK#40
-1.0H
A-1.2
TA&M#28
-5.4H
A+7.0
ARK#71
+5.9A