CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Tennessee-Vanderbilt
Forecast win probability
TENN 64.2%35.8% VAN
Projected margin
TENN by 5.5
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
TENN 24 to VAN 13
Win probability
TENN 64.2%

Current team profiles

Tennessee
Vanderbilt

When Tennessee has the ball

Passing

VAN defense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN offense
#98
VAN defense
#93
EPA comparison
0.12
#98
0.22
#93
Pass EPA

Rushing

TENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN offense
#6
VAN defense
#81
EPA comparison
0.29
#6
0.06
#81
Rush EPA

Drive success

TENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN offense
#50
VAN defense
#97
Success rates
45%
#50
43%
#97
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#50
0.11
#92
EPA / play
1.21
#87
1.22
#72
Explosiveness
16%
#98
15%
#83
Havoc

When Vanderbilt has the ball

Passing

TENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN defense
#3
VAN offense
#76
EPA comparison
-0.13
#3
0.20
#76
Pass EPA

Rushing

TENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN defense
#73
VAN offense
#79
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.09
#79
Rush EPA

Drive success

TENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
TENN defense
#46
VAN offense
#102
Success rates
38%
#46
40%
#102
Success rate
More metrics
-0.08
#12
0.05
#105
EPA / play
1.06
#11
1.25
#57
Explosiveness
22%
#6
16%
#101
Havoc

Current key players

Tennessee
QBGeorge MacIntyre
148 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
79.673/729
RBDeSean Bishop
540 yds · 7 TD · 6.1 YPC
82.751/1044
DBDejuan Lane
17 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.0
Coverage
85.8
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
81
Passer rating allowed
67.2
Missed tackles
5
80.457/2969
LBJeremiah Telander
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.8
Coverage
86.1
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
59
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
77.9121/1796
DBTy Redmond
18 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
78.9
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
105
Passer rating allowed
66.6
Missed tackles
3
76.8132/2969
LBAmare Campbell
31 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.2
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
12
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
0
72.9259/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Wendell Moe Jr. · OGout · 2026-09-30

    Moe Jr has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

  • Jaedon Harmon · LBout · 2026-09-07

    Harmon has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to ACL tear.

  • Javin Gordon · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gordon is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bennett Brady · LSQues. · 2026-10-11

    Brady is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October

Vanderbilt
QBWhit Muschamp
18 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
73.9121/729
TEMaurice Veney
1 rec · 20 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
75.9
Run blocking
78.6
Penalties
0
82.818/1017
SCJ Heard
40 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.9
Coverage
86.7
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
116
Passer rating allowed
121.1
Missed tackles
4
80.951/2969
SMason Lewis
20 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.8
Coverage
83.7
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
72
Passer rating allowed
77.6
Missed tackles
3
79.274/2969
LBBryan Longwell
31 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.5
Coverage
65.1
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
42
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
75.7163/1796
SRicardo Jones
22 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.7
Coverage
80.4
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
94.1
Missed tackles
5
75.1190/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Kahden Smith · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Smith has been out of the lineup due to a leg injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against Razorbacks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • J. Curtis · LBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Curtis is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Razorbacks on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TENN
VAN
vs
Offense
79.6
#57 of 138
QB
73.9
#86 of 138
82.0
#23 of 138
RB
69.7
#123 of 138
69.8
#81 of 138
WR
66.9
#122 of 138
70.8
#60 of 138
TE
82.8
#18 of 138
71.9
#36 of 138
OL
61.2
#126 of 138
Defense
81.6
#10 of 138
DL
71.4
#92 of 138
74.0
#70 of 138
LB
69.4
#107 of 138
73.5
#50 of 138
DB
76.1
#24 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Tennessee
opponent
Vanderbilt
H+10.0
AUB#42
-6.0A
H+15.5
UK#40
+2.0A
H-5.2
ALA#3
-13.4H
A+7.0
ARK#71
+12.5H