CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 7:45 PM ET
Forecast win probability
KENN 1.3%98.7% TENN
Projected margin
TENN by 34.2
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
TENN 14 to TENN 53
Win probability
TENN 98.7%
FinalKENN 9 · TENN 42model had +34.2, off by 1.2

Current team profiles

Kennesaw State
Tennessee

When Kennesaw State has the ball

Passing

TENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN offense
#101
TENN defense
#3
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
-0.13
#3
Pass EPA

Rushing

KENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN offense
#51
TENN defense
#73
EPA comparison
0.15
#51
0.05
#73
Rush EPA

Drive success

TENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN offense
#53
TENN defense
#46
Success rates
45%
#53
38%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#87
-0.08
#12
EPA / play
1.10
#126
1.06
#11
Explosiveness
14%
#60
22%
#6
Havoc

When Tennessee has the ball

Passing

TENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN defense
#107
TENN offense
#98
EPA comparison
0.28
#107
0.12
#98
Pass EPA

Rushing

TENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN defense
#68
TENN offense
#6
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
0.29
#6
Rush EPA

Drive success

TENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN defense
#98
TENN offense
#50
Success rates
43%
#98
45%
#50
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#102
0.20
#50
EPA / play
1.08
#16
1.21
#87
Explosiveness
12%
#125
16%
#98
Havoc

Current key players

Kennesaw State
QBRickie Collins
734 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
79.176/729
LBCorey Kelly
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.6
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
6
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
87.922/1796
RBLatrelle Murrell
154 yds · 2 TD · 7.0 YPC
81.559/1044
LBZay Wilson
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.9
Coverage
61.7
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
13
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.1119/1796
WRJavon Rogers
9 rec · 194 yds · 0 TD
74.4136/2069
WRKeon Davis
3 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD
74.1144/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Zion Booker · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Booker is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be in the lineup against Missouri St. on Wednesday, Octo

  • Gerard Bullock Jr. · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Bullock Jr. is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Missouri St. on Wednesday, October

Tennessee
QBGeorge MacIntyre
148 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
79.673/729
RBDeSean Bishop
540 yds · 7 TD · 6.1 YPC
82.751/1044
DBDejuan Lane
17 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.0
Coverage
85.8
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
81
Passer rating allowed
67.2
Missed tackles
5
80.457/2969
LBJeremiah Telander
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.8
Coverage
86.1
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
59
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
77.9121/1796
DBTy Redmond
18 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
78.9
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
105
Passer rating allowed
66.6
Missed tackles
3
76.8132/2969
LBAmare Campbell
31 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.2
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
12
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
0
72.9259/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Wendell Moe Jr. · OGout · 2026-09-30

    Moe Jr has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

  • Jaedon Harmon · LBout · 2026-09-07

    Harmon has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to ACL tear.

  • Javin Gordon · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gordon is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bennett Brady · LSQues. · 2026-10-11

    Brady is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

KENN
TENN
vs
Offense
79.1
#60 of 138
QB
79.6
#57 of 138
78.9
#40 of 138
RB
82.0
#23 of 138
72.9
#48 of 138
WR
69.8
#81 of 138
52.4
#136 of 138
TE
70.8
#60 of 138
59.3
#135 of 138
OL
71.9
#36 of 138
Defense
72.2
#82 of 138
DL
81.6
#10 of 138
81.1
#16 of 138
LB
74.0
#70 of 138
69.8
#102 of 138
DB
73.5
#50 of 138
Common opponents