Passing
MIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX offense
- #60
- MIZ defense
- #38
EPA comparison
0.26
#60
0.06
#38
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
TEX 57.2%42.8% MIZ
- Projected margin
- TEX by 2.6
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- TEX 21 to MIZ 16
- Win probability
- TEX 57.2%
Current team profiles
TexasMissouriWhen Texas has the ball
Rushing
MIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX offense
- #93
- MIZ defense
- #29
EPA comparison
0.04
#93
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX offense
- #69
- MIZ defense
- #20
Success rates
44%
#69
35%
#20
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#96
-0.02
#33
EPA / play
1.18
#97
1.34
#114
Explosiveness
17%
#110
22%
#4
Havoc
When Missouri has the ball
Passing
MIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX defense
- #20
- MIZ offense
- #19
EPA comparison
0.00
#20
0.43
#19
Pass EPA
Rushing
TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX defense
- #22
- MIZ offense
- #72
EPA comparison
-0.09
#22
0.10
#72
Rush EPA
Drive success
TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX defense
- #25
- MIZ offense
- #79
Success rates
35%
#25
43%
#79
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#23
0.20
#46
EPA / play
1.04
#7
1.30
#30
Explosiveness
21%
#10
16%
#93
Havoc
Current key players
TexasQBArch Manning
865 yds · 7 TD · 3 INT
74.8113/729
WRSterling Berkhalter
3 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
83.729/2069
DBJelani McDonald
26 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.2
- Coverage
- 73.5
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 56
- Passer rating allowed
- 118.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.3149/2969
RBHollywood Smothers
198 yds · 2 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.1147/1044
DBGraceson Littleton
14 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 75.0
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.0161/2969
WRCam Coleman
11 rec · 194 yds · 4 TD
70.5246/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Trevor Goosby · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Goosby is dealing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Zion Williams · DLQues. · 2026-10-11
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Kaliq Lockett · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lockett is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Daylan McCutcheon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
McCutcheon is ailing from an illness, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
MissouriQBAustin Simmons
1270 yds · 13 TD · 0 INT
88.428/729
WRCayden Lee
33 rec · 496 yds · 4 TD
91.35/2069
LBRobert Woodyard Jr.
32 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 92.5
- Coverage
- 55.4
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 12
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.5126/1796
CBJahlil Florence
6 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 44.7
- Coverage
- 81.1
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 9.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.7168/2969
SCJ Bass III
3 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.0
- Coverage
- 78.9
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.5210/2969
SSantana Banner
42 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.2
- Coverage
- 79.1
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 155
- Passer rating allowed
- 128.9
- Missed tackles
- 5
74.2218/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Cayden Green · OGout · 2026-09-20
Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Gavin Hoffman · TEout · 2026-09-20
Hoffman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Ahmad Hardy · RBout · 2026-09-11
Hardy is dealing with a leg injury, and and a timetable for return has yet to be established.
- Jabari Brady · WRout · 2026-09-20
Brady is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Darris Smith · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to play against the Ole Miss on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
TEXTexas
MIZMissouri
vs
Offense
74.8
#83 of 138
QB
Quarterback
88.4
#27 of 138
74.0
#82 of 138
RB
Running backs
69.8
#121 of 138
74.5
#37 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.6
#19 of 138
63.2
#103 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.1
#63 of 138
76.6
#10 of 138
OL
Offensive line
77.3
#9 of 138
Defense
77.9
#24 of 138
DL
Defensive line
81.3
#11 of 138
66.3
#127 of 138
LB
Linebackers
72.7
#81 of 138
70.6
#89 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.6
#49 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Texas
opponent
Missouri
Aaway+0.4
TA&MTexas A&M#28+21.0Hhome
Hhome+13.0
MSSTMississippi State#35-7.0Aaway
Hhome+11.1
FLAFlorida#22+28.0Hhome
Hhome+8.0
MISSOle Miss#14-2.5Aaway
Hhome+22.3
ARKArkansas#71+11.8Aaway
Nneutral-3.0
OUOklahoma#19+2.5Hhome