Passing
TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK offense
- #88
- TEX defense
- #20
EPA comparison
0.14
#88
0.00
#20
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ARK 7.7%92.3% TEX
- Projected margin
- TEX by 22.3
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- TEX 4 to TEX 41
- Win probability
- TEX 92.3%
Current team profiles
ArkansasTexasWhen Arkansas has the ball
Rushing
TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK offense
- #134
- TEX defense
- #22
EPA comparison
-0.11
#134
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA
Drive success
TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK offense
- #96
- TEX defense
- #25
Success rates
41%
#96
35%
#25
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#120
-0.05
#23
EPA / play
1.08
#129
1.04
#7
Explosiveness
19%
#126
21%
#10
Havoc
When Texas has the ball
Passing
TEX offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK defense
- #84
- TEX offense
- #60
EPA comparison
0.19
#84
0.26
#60
Pass EPA
Rushing
TEX offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK defense
- #125
- TEX offense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.20
#125
0.04
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
TEX offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARK defense
- #100
- TEX offense
- #69
Success rates
43%
#100
44%
#69
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#111
0.08
#96
EPA / play
1.16
#38
1.18
#97
Explosiveness
13%
#111
17%
#110
Havoc
Current key players
ArkansasQBKJ Jackson
1038 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
64.0225/729
WRChris Marshall
35 rec · 517 yds · 2 TD
81.246/2069
LBBen Bogle
36 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.7
- Coverage
- 58.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.799/1796
DBShelton Lewis
13 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.7
- Coverage
- 81.3
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 45
- Passer rating allowed
- 64.6
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.584/2969
DBKhmori House
33 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.7
- Coverage
- 68.2
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 107
- Passer rating allowed
- 94.5
- Missed tackles
- 1
73.2266/2969
WRJelani Watkins
27 rush yds · 0 TD · 3 car
73.0164/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Maddox Lassiter · TEout · 2026-08-16
Lassiter has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an upper body injury.
- H. Hendrix · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Hendrix is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Commodores on Saturday, October 17th.
TexasQBArch Manning
865 yds · 7 TD · 3 INT
74.8113/729
WRSterling Berkhalter
3 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
83.729/2069
DBJelani McDonald
26 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.2
- Coverage
- 73.5
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 56
- Passer rating allowed
- 118.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.3149/2969
RBHollywood Smothers
198 yds · 2 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.1147/1044
DBGraceson Littleton
14 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 75.0
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.0161/2969
WRCam Coleman
11 rec · 194 yds · 4 TD
70.5246/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Trevor Goosby · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Goosby is dealing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Zion Williams · DLQues. · 2026-10-11
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Kaliq Lockett · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lockett is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Daylan McCutcheon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
McCutcheon is ailing from an illness, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ARKArkansas
TEXTexas
vs
Offense
64.0
#122 of 138
QB
Quarterback
74.8
#83 of 138
67.0
#135 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.0
#82 of 138
72.9
#50 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.5
#37 of 138
61.8
#107 of 138
TE
Tight ends
63.2
#103 of 138
64.3
#102 of 138
OL
Offensive line
76.6
#10 of 138
Defense
72.4
#79 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.9
#24 of 138
70.2
#103 of 138
LB
Linebackers
66.3
#127 of 138
70.2
#94 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.6
#89 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Arkansas
opponent
Texas
Aaway-27.0
TA&MTexas A&M#28+0.4Aaway
Hhome-11.8
MIZMissouri#15+2.6Aaway
Hhome-14.0
LSULSU#11+0.4Aaway
Hhome-7.0
TENNTennessee#21+3.0Aaway