Passing
MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MISS offense
- #15
- TEX defense
- #20
EPA comparison
0.45
#15
0.00
#20
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
MISS 30.3%69.7% TEX
- Projected margin
- TEX by 8.0
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- MISS 11 to TEX 27
- Win probability
- TEX 69.7%
Current team profiles
Ole Miss
TexasWhen Ole Miss has the ball
Rushing
TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MISS offense
- #42
- TEX defense
- #22
EPA comparison
0.17
#42
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA
Drive success
MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MISS offense
- #4
- TEX defense
- #25
Success rates
53%
#4
35%
#25
Success rate
More metrics
0.27
#26
-0.05
#23
EPA / play
1.13
#115
1.04
#7
Explosiveness
13%
#37
21%
#10
Havoc
When Texas has the ball
Passing
TEX offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MISS defense
- #98
- TEX offense
- #60
EPA comparison
0.25
#98
0.26
#60
Pass EPA
Rushing
TEX offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MISS defense
- #102
- TEX offense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.13
#102
0.04
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
TEX offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MISS defense
- #114
- TEX offense
- #69
Success rates
45%
#114
44%
#69
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#105
0.08
#96
EPA / play
1.17
#42
1.18
#97
Explosiveness
16%
#65
17%
#110
Havoc
Current key players
Ole MissQBTrinidad Chambliss
1222 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
85.044/729
TECaleb Odom
13 rec · 201 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 74.8
- Run blocking
- 70.3
- Penalties
- 1
79.427/1017
WRDeuce Alexander
27 rec · 429 yds · 4 TD
78.567/2069
WRDillon Alfred
1 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
77.185/2069
RBKewan Lacy
191 yds · 4 TD · 4.9 YPC
76.0150/1044
CBDorian Barney
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.4
- Coverage
- 72.2
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.5256/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Izaiah Hartrup · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Hartrup is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.
TexasQBArch Manning
865 yds · 7 TD · 3 INT
74.8113/729
WRSterling Berkhalter
3 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
83.729/2069
DBJelani McDonald
26 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.2
- Coverage
- 73.5
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 56
- Passer rating allowed
- 118.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.3149/2969
RBHollywood Smothers
198 yds · 2 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.1147/1044
DBGraceson Littleton
14 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 75.0
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.0161/2969
WRCam Coleman
11 rec · 194 yds · 4 TD
70.5246/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Trevor Goosby · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Goosby is dealing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Zion Williams · DLQues. · 2026-10-11
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Kaliq Lockett · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lockett is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Daylan McCutcheon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
McCutcheon is ailing from an illness, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MISSOle Miss
TEXTexas
vs
Offense
85.0
#40 of 138
QB
Quarterback
74.8
#83 of 138
70.9
#114 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.0
#82 of 138
77.1
#25 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.5
#37 of 138
79.4
#26 of 138
TE
Tight ends
63.2
#103 of 138
64.5
#100 of 138
OL
Offensive line
76.6
#10 of 138
Defense
73.0
#71 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.9
#24 of 138
71.2
#94 of 138
LB
Linebackers
66.3
#127 of 138
69.9
#99 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.6
#89 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Ole Miss
opponent
Texas
Aaway-24.0
FLAFlorida#22+11.1Hhome
Hhome+8.0
LSULSU#11+0.4Aaway
Hhome+7.6
MSSTMississippi State#35+13.0Hhome
Hhome+2.5
MIZMissouri#15+2.6Aaway
Aaway-2.9
OUOklahoma#19-3.0Nneutral