CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Thu Nov 5 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UTSA 69.9%30.1% FAU
Projected margin
UTSA by 8.1
Projected total
61
80% outcome range
UTSA 27 to FAU 11
Win probability
UTSA 69.9%

Current team profiles

UTSA
Florida Atlantic

When UTSA has the ball

Passing

UTSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UTSA offense
#78
FAU defense
#103
EPA comparison
0.19
#78
0.27
#103
Pass EPA

Rushing

UTSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UTSA offense
#12
FAU defense
#112
EPA comparison
0.26
#12
0.15
#112
Rush EPA

Drive success

UTSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UTSA offense
#38
FAU defense
#63
Success rates
47%
#38
40%
#63
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#34
0.18
#117
EPA / play
1.14
#114
1.47
#137
Explosiveness
12%
#27
16%
#72
Havoc

When Florida Atlantic has the ball

Passing

Same rank
UTSA defense
#60
FAU offense
#60
EPA comparison
0.11
#60
0.26
#60
Pass EPA

Rushing

FAU offense
Higher-ranked profile
UTSA defense
#93
FAU offense
#72
EPA comparison
0.10
#93
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

FAU offense
Higher-ranked profile
UTSA defense
#80
FAU offense
#53
Success rates
41%
#80
45%
#53
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#68
0.18
#59
EPA / play
1.15
#34
1.21
#89
Explosiveness
13%
#119
15%
#74
Havoc

Current key players

UTSA
QBMark Wiepert
— yds · — TD · — INT
68.6178/729
RBA'Marion Peterson
194 yds · 4 TD · 7.2 YPC
89.212/1044
LBCamron Cooper
14 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.6
Coverage
72.1
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
92
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
77.5127/1796
CBZach Morris
9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.9
Coverage
75.4
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
65
Passer rating allowed
48.8
Missed tackles
1
76.4146/2969
WRDJ Allen Jr.
18 rec · 269 yds · 2 TD
76.0109/2069
LBBrandon Tucker
44 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.3
Coverage
57.1
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
16
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
73.2252/1796
Availability reports · 1
  • Bryson Donnell · RBout · 2026-10-10

    Donnell has been out of lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

Florida Atlantic
QBCaden Veltkamp
1425 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
85.539/729
DBWallace Foster IV
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.8
Coverage
84.8
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
1
83.037/2969
DBTyclean Luman
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.7
Missed tackles
1
77.8101/2969
WRKelby Valsin
40 rec · 512 yds · 5 TD
75.9111/2069
DBJK Johnson
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
45.5
Coverage
82.2
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
19
Passer rating allowed
51.3
Missed tackles
3
75.2186/2969
WREaston Messer
30 rec · 438 yds · 3 TD
74.8127/2069
Position units

Position-unit comparison

UTSA
FAU
vs
Offense
68.6
#107 of 138
QB
85.5
#36 of 138
84.7
#11 of 138
RB
73.0
#97 of 138
68.5
#100 of 138
WR
74.1
#42 of 138
64.0
#96 of 138
TE
58.9
#128 of 138
65.0
#95 of 138
OL
70.4
#50 of 138
Defense
69.5
#113 of 138
DL
75.3
#51 of 138
73.9
#71 of 138
LB
65.1
#134 of 138
70.1
#97 of 138
DB
75.6
#27 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

UTSA
opponent
Florida Atlantic
H+7.0
USF#76
-10.3H
H+5.2
UNT#64
-10.9A
H+12.8
TLSA#98
-3.3A
A+2.0
RICE#133
+4.9H
H+7.7
NAVY#93
+8.0H