CFB
Model
All rankings
American Athletic

Rice

Owls1-512th in American Athletic
Rice Stadium · Houston, TX · 47,000
TeamCarried by the defense
OffenseStuck in the mud running attack · poorweak point: passing game, 136th
DefenseBuilt to defend the pass · weakweak point: big plays allowed, 112th

The season

Best win
W 31-3 vs #213 Houston Christian
Wk 1 · Sep 5 · model had 99%
Worst loss
L 12-28 @ #94 East Carolina
Wk 6 · Oct 10 · model had 21%

Schedule

model 6/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsHouston Christian
    W 31–3
    Win chance 99%Model margin +32.3Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    atNotre Dame
    L 0–52
    Win chance <1%Model margin -40.7Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsWestern Michigan
    L 21–28
    Win chance 15%Model margin -13.9Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atFresno State
    L 24–38
    Win chance 16%Model margin -13.4Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    vsUTSA
    L 14–16
    Win chance 17%Model margin -12.7Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    atEast Carolina
    L 12–28
    Win chance 21%Model margin -10.7Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsTulsa
    Win chance 49%Model margin -0.2Game details
  8. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atFlorida Atlantic
    Win chance 36%Model margin -4.9Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atNorth Texas
    Win chance 17%Model margin -13.1Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsTulane
    Win chance 28%Model margin -7.7Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 20
    atTemple
    Win chance 31%Model margin -6.9Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsArmy
    Win chance 34%Model margin -5.7Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
13
#131 of 138
Defense efficiency
45
#74 of 138
Efficiency
#127-0.03
EPA / play
#840.09
#136-0.18
Pass
#340.05
#1000.03
Rush
#1020.13
#10839%
Success
#6540%
Big plays & havoc
#1251.11
Explosive
#1121.33
#11017%
Havoc
#7915%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB74th
RB20th
WR113th
TE93rd
OL99th
DL67th
LB110th
DB80th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Jacurri BrownSR
403 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
77.2
97th QB
RB
Carson MorganJR
54 yds · 0 TD · 7.7 YPC
87.5
20th RB
WR
Barry Jackson Jr.JR
7 rec · 102 yds · 1 TD
70.2
262nd WR
WR
Chris BruceJR
1 rec · 19 yds · 0 TD
69.1
296th WR
TE
Will SwartzFR
— rec · — yds · — TD
64.6
167th TE
Defense
LB
Beau BartonJR
9 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
75.7
164th LB
LB
Kaleb BlantonSO
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
66.0
547th LB
S
Daveon HookSR
3 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
81.2
46th DB
S
Michael Amey IIIFR
1 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
77.5
108th DB
CB
Jamir BenjaminSO
23 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
67.1
668th DB

Injury report

1 out
out
Colten ColeTE

Cole has been out of lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

60.010-10
Ques.
Davis LaneWR

Lane is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Fresno State on Saturday.

52.209-20
Ques.
Preston ZinterTE

Zinter is laid up with a leg injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Fresno State on Saturday, September 26th.

48.709-20
Ques.
James FalkTE

Falk is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Fresno State on Saturday, September 26th.

46.909-20

Past seasons

Year by year
-1.8 points since 2022
304050607047.9202255.3202353.5202446.12025
2022 47.92023 55.32024 53.52025 46.1

2025

5-7
D-I rank
#145
Rating
46.1
Listed games · 12
WLWWLLLWLWLL
238 pts scored387 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at LouisianaW 14–12
  2. W2 vs HoustonL 9–35
  3. W3 vs Prairie View A&MW 38–17
  4. W4 at CharlotteW 28–17
  5. W5 at NavyL 13–21
  6. W6 vs Florida AtlanticL 21–27
  7. W7 at UTSAL 13–61
  8. W9 vs UConnW 37–34
  9. W10 vs MemphisL 14–38
  10. W11 vs UABW 24–17
  11. W13 vs North TexasL 24–56
  12. W14 at South FloridaL 3–52

2024

4-8
D-I rank
#101
Rating
53.5
Listed games · 12
LWLLLWLLWLLW
266 pts scored305 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Sam HoustonL 14–34
  2. W2 vs Texas SouthernW 69–7
  3. W3 at HoustonL 7–33
  4. W4 at ArmyL 14–37
  5. W5 vs CharlotteL 20–21
  6. W7 vs UTSAW 29–27
  7. W8 at TulaneL 10–24
  8. W9 at UConnL 10–17
  9. W10 vs NavyW 24–10
  10. W11 at MemphisL 20–27
  11. W13 at UABL 14–40
  12. W14 vs South FloridaW 35–28

2023

6-6
D-I rank
#90
Rating
55.3
Listed games · 12
LWWLWLWLLLWW
363 pts scored320 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at TexasL 10–37
  2. W2 vs HoustonW 43–41
  3. W3 vs Texas SouthernW 59–7
  4. W4 at South FloridaL 29–42
  5. W5 vs East CarolinaW 24–17
  6. W6 vs UConnL 31–38
  7. W8 at TulsaW 42–10
  8. W9 vs TulaneL 28–30
  9. W10 vs SMUL 31–36
  10. W11 at UTSAL 14–34
  11. W12 at CharlotteW 28–7
  12. W13 vs Florida AtlanticW 24–21

2022

5-7
D-I rank
#139
Rating
47.9
Listed games · 12
LWWLWLWLWLLL
304 pts scored406 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at USCL 14–66
  2. W2 vs McNeeseW 52–10
  3. W3 vs LouisianaW 33–21
  4. W4 at HoustonL 27–34
  5. W5 vs UABW 28–24
  6. W7 at Florida AtlanticL 14–17
  7. W8 at Louisiana TechW 42–41
  8. W9 vs CharlotteL 23–56
  9. W10 vs UTEPW 37–30
  10. W11 at Western KentuckyL 10–45
  11. W12 vs UTSAL 7–41
  12. W13 at North TexasL 17–21