CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 4:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
TLSA 50.4%49.6% RICE
Projected margin
TLSA by 0.2
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
TLSA 19 to RICE 18
Win probability
TLSA 50.4%

Current team profiles

Tulsa
Rice

When Tulsa has the ball

Passing

RICE defense
Higher-ranked profile
TLSA offense
#108
RICE defense
#34
EPA comparison
0.09
#108
0.05
#34
Pass EPA

Rushing

TLSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
TLSA offense
#21
RICE defense
#102
EPA comparison
0.23
#21
0.13
#102
Rush EPA

Drive success

RICE defense
Higher-ranked profile
TLSA offense
#117
RICE defense
#65
Success rates
39%
#117
40%
#65
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#74
0.09
#84
EPA / play
1.22
#78
1.33
#112
Explosiveness
15%
#69
15%
#79
Havoc

When Rice has the ball

Passing

TLSA defense
Higher-ranked profile
TLSA defense
#82
RICE offense
#136
EPA comparison
0.18
#82
-0.18
#136
Pass EPA

Rushing

TLSA defense
Higher-ranked profile
TLSA defense
#41
RICE offense
#100
EPA comparison
-0.01
#41
0.03
#100
Rush EPA

Drive success

TLSA defense
Higher-ranked profile
TLSA defense
#74
RICE offense
#108
Success rates
41%
#74
39%
#108
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#54
-0.03
#127
EPA / play
1.14
#29
1.11
#125
Explosiveness
13%
#116
17%
#110
Havoc

Current key players

Tulsa
QBDexter Williams II
340 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
64.2222/729
RBSeth Davis
90 yds · 1 TD · 10.0 YPC
88.714/1044
TEJackson Shockley
1 rec · 22 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
48.5
Run blocking
65.5
Penalties
0
87.18/1017
DBDevin Robinson
19 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.6
Coverage
76.0
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
62
Passer rating allowed
92.5
Missed tackles
3
79.077/2969
LBDax Collins
39 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
84.8
Coverage
58.3
Pressures
12
Pass-rush snaps
24
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
76.7146/1796
CBCaldra Williford
16 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
74.2
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
65
Passer rating allowed
158.3
Missed tackles
2
75.4178/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Jimmy Calloway · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Calloway is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against the Owls on Saturday, Octob

  • Grayson Tempest · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tempest is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against the Owls on Saturday, Octobe

Rice
QBJacurri Brown
403 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
77.297/729
RBCarson Morgan
54 yds · 0 TD · 7.7 YPC
87.520/1044
SDaveon Hook
3 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.4
Coverage
87.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
25
Passer rating allowed
52.8
Missed tackles
2
81.246/2969
SMichael Amey III
1 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Coverage
77.1
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
77.5108/2969
LBBeau Barton
9 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.1
Coverage
70.8
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
75.7164/1796
WRBarry Jackson Jr.
7 rec · 102 yds · 1 TD
70.2262/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Colten Cole · TEout · 2026-10-10

    Cole has been out of lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Davis Lane · WRQues. · 2026-09-20

    Lane is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Fresno State on Saturday.

  • Preston Zinter · TEQues. · 2026-09-20

    Zinter is laid up with a leg injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Fresno State on Saturday, September 26th.

  • James Falk · TEQues. · 2026-09-20

    Falk is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Fresno State on Saturday, September 26th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TLSA
RICE
vs
Offense
64.2
#121 of 138
QB
77.2
#74 of 138
84.4
#13 of 138
RB
83.0
#20 of 138
67.0
#120 of 138
WR
67.7
#113 of 138
87.1
#8 of 138
TE
64.6
#93 of 138
68.5
#64 of 138
OL
64.6
#99 of 138
Defense
73.1
#68 of 138
DL
73.2
#67 of 138
71.4
#93 of 138
LB
69.2
#110 of 138
74.5
#41 of 138
DB
71.2
#80 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Tulsa
opponent
Rice
H-1.0
UNT#64
-13.1A
A-12.8
UTSA#73
-2.0H
H+3.3
FAU#88
-4.9A
H-2.8
ARMY#53
-5.7H
A-10.1
TULN#85
-7.7H