Passing
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- RICE offense
- #136
- ECU defense
- #7
EPA comparison
-0.18
#136
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 1:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
RICE 22.9%77.1% ECU
- Projected margin
- ECU by 10.7
- Projected total
- 47
- 80% outcome range
- RICE 7 to ECU 31
- Win probability
- ECU 77.1%
FinalRICE 12 · ECU 28model had +10.7, off by 5.3
Current team profiles
RiceEast CarolinaWhen Rice has the ball
Rushing
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- RICE offense
- #100
- ECU defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA
Drive success
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- RICE offense
- #108
- ECU defense
- #11
Success rates
39%
#108
34%
#11
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#127
-0.07
#15
EPA / play
1.11
#125
1.24
#82
Explosiveness
17%
#110
21%
#12
Havoc
When East Carolina has the ball
Passing
RICE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- RICE defense
- #34
- ECU offense
- #92
EPA comparison
0.05
#34
0.13
#92
Pass EPA
Rushing
RICE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- RICE defense
- #102
- ECU offense
- #116
EPA comparison
0.13
#102
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA
Drive success
RICE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- RICE defense
- #65
- ECU offense
- #119
Success rates
40%
#65
38%
#119
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#84
0.04
#110
EPA / play
1.33
#112
1.22
#75
Explosiveness
15%
#79
19%
#128
Havoc
Current key players
RiceQBJacurri Brown
403 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
77.297/729
RBCarson Morgan
54 yds · 0 TD · 7.7 YPC
87.520/1044
SDaveon Hook
3 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.4
- Coverage
- 87.6
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 25
- Passer rating allowed
- 52.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
81.246/2969
SMichael Amey III
1 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.1
- Coverage
- 77.1
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.5108/2969
LBBeau Barton
9 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.1
- Coverage
- 70.8
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 3
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.7164/1796
WRBarry Jackson Jr.
7 rec · 102 yds · 1 TD
70.2262/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Colten Cole · TEout · 2026-10-10
Cole has been out of lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Davis Lane · WRQues. · 2026-09-20
Lane is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Fresno State on Saturday.
- Preston Zinter · TEQues. · 2026-09-20
Zinter is laid up with a leg injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Fresno State on Saturday, September 26th.
- James Falk · TEQues. · 2026-09-20
Falk is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Fresno State on Saturday, September 26th.
East CarolinaQBMitch Griffis
425 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
56.8332/729
DBMyles Pollard
9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 88.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 41
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
83.733/2969
RBAshton Gray
152 yds · 0 TD · 4.8 YPC
83.646/1044
LBDJ Johnson Jr.
29 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.0
- Coverage
- 75.6
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 20
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.873/1796
LBLJ Porter
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.8
- Coverage
- 64.7
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.1139/1796
DBAyden Duncanson
6 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 40.2
- Coverage
- 89.2
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 110
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.0
- Missed tackles
- 3
77.0123/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Jeremiah Melvin · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Melvin is dealing with a back injury, and it is unknown if he will face UAB on Friday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
RICERice
ECUEast Carolina
vs
Offense
77.2
#74 of 138
QB
Quarterback
56.8
#137 of 138
83.0
#20 of 138
RB
Running backs
78.5
#44 of 138
67.7
#113 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.5
#52 of 138
64.6
#93 of 138
TE
Tight ends
62.0
#106 of 138
64.6
#99 of 138
OL
Offensive line
61.1
#127 of 138
Defense
73.2
#67 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.0
#36 of 138
69.2
#110 of 138
LB
Linebackers
77.7
#39 of 138
71.2
#80 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.0
#33 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Rice
opponent
East Carolina
Aaway-4.9
FAUFlorida Atlantic#88+7.1Hhome
Aaway-6.9
TEMTemple#108+5.1Hhome
Hhome-5.7
ARMYArmy#53-4.4Aaway