CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
RICE 38.3%61.7% FAU
Projected margin
FAU by 4.9
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
RICE 14 to FAU 23
Win probability
FAU 61.7%

Current team profiles

Rice
Florida Atlantic

When Rice has the ball

Passing

FAU defense
Higher-ranked profile
RICE offense
#136
FAU defense
#103
EPA comparison
-0.18
#136
0.27
#103
Pass EPA

Rushing

RICE offense
Higher-ranked profile
RICE offense
#100
FAU defense
#112
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
0.15
#112
Rush EPA

Drive success

FAU defense
Higher-ranked profile
RICE offense
#108
FAU defense
#63
Success rates
39%
#108
40%
#63
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#127
0.18
#117
EPA / play
1.11
#125
1.47
#137
Explosiveness
17%
#110
16%
#72
Havoc

When Florida Atlantic has the ball

Passing

RICE defense
Higher-ranked profile
RICE defense
#34
FAU offense
#60
EPA comparison
0.05
#34
0.26
#60
Pass EPA

Rushing

FAU offense
Higher-ranked profile
RICE defense
#102
FAU offense
#72
EPA comparison
0.13
#102
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

FAU offense
Higher-ranked profile
RICE defense
#65
FAU offense
#53
Success rates
40%
#65
45%
#53
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#84
0.18
#59
EPA / play
1.33
#112
1.21
#89
Explosiveness
15%
#79
15%
#74
Havoc

Current key players

Rice
QBJacurri Brown
403 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
77.297/729
RBCarson Morgan
54 yds · 0 TD · 7.7 YPC
87.520/1044
SDaveon Hook
3 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.4
Coverage
87.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
25
Passer rating allowed
52.8
Missed tackles
2
81.246/2969
SMichael Amey III
1 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Coverage
77.1
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
77.5108/2969
LBBeau Barton
9 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.1
Coverage
70.8
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
75.7164/1796
WRBarry Jackson Jr.
7 rec · 102 yds · 1 TD
70.2262/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Colten Cole · TEout · 2026-10-10

    Cole has been out of lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Davis Lane · WRQues. · 2026-09-20

    Lane is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Fresno State on Saturday.

  • Preston Zinter · TEQues. · 2026-09-20

    Zinter is laid up with a leg injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Fresno State on Saturday, September 26th.

  • James Falk · TEQues. · 2026-09-20

    Falk is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Fresno State on Saturday, September 26th.

Florida Atlantic
QBCaden Veltkamp
1425 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
85.539/729
DBWallace Foster IV
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.8
Coverage
84.8
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
1
83.037/2969
DBTyclean Luman
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.7
Missed tackles
1
77.8101/2969
WRKelby Valsin
40 rec · 512 yds · 5 TD
75.9111/2069
DBJK Johnson
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
45.5
Coverage
82.2
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
19
Passer rating allowed
51.3
Missed tackles
3
75.2186/2969
WREaston Messer
30 rec · 438 yds · 3 TD
74.8127/2069
Position units

Position-unit comparison

RICE
FAU
vs
Offense
77.2
#74 of 138
QB
85.5
#36 of 138
83.0
#20 of 138
RB
73.0
#97 of 138
67.7
#113 of 138
WR
74.1
#42 of 138
64.6
#93 of 138
TE
58.9
#128 of 138
64.6
#99 of 138
OL
70.4
#50 of 138
Defense
73.2
#67 of 138
DL
75.3
#51 of 138
69.2
#110 of 138
LB
65.1
#134 of 138
71.2
#80 of 138
DB
75.6
#27 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Rice
opponent
Florida Atlantic
A-16.0
ECU#94
-7.1A
H-2.0
UTSA#73
-8.1H
H-5.7
ARMY#53
-8.8A
H-0.2
TLSA#98
-3.3A
A-13.1
UNT#64
-10.9A