Passing
No comparison
- HCU offense
- —
- RICE defense
- #34
EPA comparison
—
0.05
#34
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
HCU 2.2%97.8% RICE
- Projected margin
- RICE by 32.3
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- RICE 12 to RICE 53
- Win probability
- RICE 97.8%
FinalHCU 3 · RICE 31model had +32.3, off by 4.3
Current team profiles
Houston Christian
RiceWhen Houston Christian has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- HCU offense
- —
- RICE defense
- #102
EPA comparison
—
0.13
#102
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- HCU offense
- #115
- RICE defense
- #65
Success rates
39%
#115
40%
#65
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#92
0.09
#84
EPA / play
0.16
#126
1.33
#112
Explosiveness
—
15%
#79
Havoc
When Rice has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- HCU defense
- —
- RICE offense
- #136
EPA comparison
—
-0.18
#136
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- HCU defense
- —
- RICE offense
- #100
EPA comparison
—
0.03
#100
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- HCU defense
- #78
- RICE offense
- #108
Success rates
45%
#78
39%
#108
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#18
-0.03
#127
EPA / play
0.19
#27
1.11
#125
Explosiveness
—
17%
#110
Havoc
Current key players
Houston ChristianQBDiego Tello
0 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
92.23/370
WRJamaal Hall II
19 rec · 362 yds · 2 TD
79.528/1229
LBNicholas Weaver
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.5
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.862/1054
DLCalvin Kalu-Alexander
8 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.0
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 29
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.491/1549
QBCayden Keeth
— yds · — TD · — INT
76.163/370
DBBrenden Bradshaw
31 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.4
- Coverage
- 62.7
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 91
- Passer rating allowed
- 81.3
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.6124/1765
RiceQBJacurri Brown
403 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
77.297/729
RBCarson Morgan
54 yds · 0 TD · 7.7 YPC
87.520/1044
SDaveon Hook
3 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.4
- Coverage
- 87.6
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 25
- Passer rating allowed
- 52.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
81.246/2969
SMichael Amey III
1 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.1
- Coverage
- 77.1
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.5108/2969
LBBeau Barton
9 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.1
- Coverage
- 70.8
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 3
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.7164/1796
WRBarry Jackson Jr.
7 rec · 102 yds · 1 TD
70.2262/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Colten Cole · TEout · 2026-10-10
Cole has been out of lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Davis Lane · WRQues. · 2026-09-20
Lane is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Fresno State on Saturday.
- Preston Zinter · TEQues. · 2026-09-20
Zinter is laid up with a leg injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Fresno State on Saturday, September 26th.
- James Falk · TEQues. · 2026-09-20
Falk is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Fresno State on Saturday, September 26th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
HCUHouston Christian
RICERice
vs
Offense
92.2
#3 of 125
QB
Quarterback
77.2
#74 of 138
70.8
#68 of 126
RB
Running backs
83.0
#20 of 138
70.9
#45 of 126
WR
Receivers
67.7
#113 of 138
56.0
#115 of 124
TE
Tight ends
64.6
#93 of 138
62.9
#82 of 125
OL
Offensive line
64.6
#99 of 138
Defense
68.8
#86 of 126
DL
Defensive line
73.2
#67 of 138
73.4
#43 of 126
LB
Linebackers
69.2
#110 of 138
70.5
#80 of 126
DB
Secondary
71.2
#80 of 138