CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ARMY 64.4%35.6% RICE
Projected margin
ARMY by 5.7
Projected total
51
80% outcome range
ARMY 24 to RICE 13
Win probability
ARMY 64.4%

Current team profiles

Army
Rice

When Army has the ball

Passing

RICE defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY offense
#88
RICE defense
#34
EPA comparison
0.14
#88
0.05
#34
Pass EPA

Rushing

ARMY offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY offense
#1
RICE defense
#102
EPA comparison
0.36
#1
0.13
#102
Rush EPA

Drive success

ARMY offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY offense
#5
RICE defense
#65
Success rates
53%
#5
40%
#65
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#16
0.09
#84
EPA / play
1.04
#135
1.33
#112
Explosiveness
8%
#4
15%
#79
Havoc

When Rice has the ball

Passing

ARMY defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY defense
#98
RICE offense
#136
EPA comparison
0.25
#98
-0.18
#136
Pass EPA

Rushing

RICE offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY defense
#122
RICE offense
#100
EPA comparison
0.19
#122
0.03
#100
Rush EPA

Drive success

ARMY defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY defense
#92
RICE offense
#108
Success rates
42%
#92
39%
#108
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#113
-0.03
#127
EPA / play
1.38
#124
1.11
#125
Explosiveness
13%
#111
17%
#110
Havoc

Current key players

Army
QBEthan Washington
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
80.369/729
WRZach Mundell
159 rush yds · 3 TD · 11 car
85.922/2069
LBKai Woolfolk
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.6
Coverage
62.1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
80.479/1796
WRSamari Howard
293 rush yds · 1 TD · 27 car
78.369/2069
RBCarson Smith
100 yds · 1 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.6139/1044
LBRyan Wells
— tkl · — TFL · — sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.6
Coverage
61.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
73.9222/1796
Availability reports · 7
  • Bryson Luter · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Lutur is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Brady Anderson · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Anderson is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Tulane on Saturday.

  • Godspower Nwawuihe · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Nwawuihe is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Parker Poloskey · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Poloskey is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Ronan Boyle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Boyle is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Brady Mott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Mott is managing with a undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face the Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Noah Dolbin · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Dolbin is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

Rice
QBJacurri Brown
403 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
77.297/729
RBCarson Morgan
54 yds · 0 TD · 7.7 YPC
87.520/1044
SDaveon Hook
3 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.4
Coverage
87.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
25
Passer rating allowed
52.8
Missed tackles
2
81.246/2969
SMichael Amey III
1 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Coverage
77.1
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
77.5108/2969
LBBeau Barton
9 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.1
Coverage
70.8
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
75.7164/1796
WRBarry Jackson Jr.
7 rec · 102 yds · 1 TD
70.2262/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Colten Cole · TEout · 2026-10-10

    Cole has been out of lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Davis Lane · WRQues. · 2026-09-20

    Lane is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Fresno State on Saturday.

  • Preston Zinter · TEQues. · 2026-09-20

    Zinter is laid up with a leg injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Fresno State on Saturday, September 26th.

  • James Falk · TEQues. · 2026-09-20

    Falk is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Fresno State on Saturday, September 26th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ARMY
RICE
vs
Offense
80.3
#55 of 138
QB
77.2
#74 of 138
74.4
#79 of 138
RB
83.0
#20 of 138
80.5
#10 of 138
WR
67.7
#113 of 138
67.1
#81 of 138
TE
64.6
#93 of 138
82.0
#1 of 138
OL
64.6
#99 of 138
Defense
69.7
#110 of 138
DL
73.2
#67 of 138
73.4
#76 of 138
LB
69.2
#110 of 138
68.9
#113 of 138
DB
71.2
#80 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Army
opponent
Rice
H+4.4
ECU#94
-16.0A
H+8.8
FAU#88
-4.9A
A+4.0
TEM#108
-6.9A
H+3.0
TULN#85
-7.7H
A+2.8
TLSA#98
-0.2H