Passing
FRES defense
Higher-ranked profile
- RICE offense
- #136
- FRES defense
- #49
EPA comparison
-0.18
#136
0.08
#49
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 10:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
RICE 19.0%81.0% FRES
- Projected margin
- FRES by 13.4
- Projected total
- 45
- 80% outcome range
- RICE 6 to FRES 34
- Win probability
- FRES 81.0%
FinalRICE 24 · FRES 38model had +13.4, off by 0.6
Current team profiles
RiceFresno StateWhen Rice has the ball
Rushing
FRES defense
Higher-ranked profile
- RICE offense
- #100
- FRES defense
- #56
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
0.02
#56
Rush EPA
Drive success
FRES defense
Higher-ranked profile
- RICE offense
- #108
- FRES defense
- #83
Success rates
39%
#108
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#127
0.02
#51
EPA / play
1.11
#125
1.17
#43
Explosiveness
17%
#110
15%
#93
Havoc
When Fresno State has the ball
Passing
FRES offense
Higher-ranked profile
- RICE defense
- #34
- FRES offense
- #31
EPA comparison
0.05
#34
0.37
#31
Pass EPA
Rushing
RICE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- RICE defense
- #102
- FRES offense
- #113
EPA comparison
0.13
#102
-0.01
#113
Rush EPA
Drive success
RICE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- RICE defense
- #65
- FRES offense
- #108
Success rates
40%
#65
39%
#108
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#84
0.14
#72
EPA / play
1.33
#112
1.35
#17
Explosiveness
15%
#79
13%
#31
Havoc
Current key players
RiceQBJacurri Brown
403 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
77.297/729
RBCarson Morgan
54 yds · 0 TD · 7.7 YPC
87.520/1044
SDaveon Hook
3 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.4
- Coverage
- 87.6
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 25
- Passer rating allowed
- 52.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
81.246/2969
SMichael Amey III
1 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.1
- Coverage
- 77.1
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.5108/2969
LBBeau Barton
9 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.1
- Coverage
- 70.8
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 3
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.7164/1796
WRBarry Jackson Jr.
7 rec · 102 yds · 1 TD
70.2262/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Colten Cole · TEout · 2026-10-10
Cole has been out of lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Davis Lane · WRQues. · 2026-09-20
Lane is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Fresno State on Saturday.
- Preston Zinter · TEQues. · 2026-09-20
Zinter is laid up with a leg injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Fresno State on Saturday, September 26th.
- James Falk · TEQues. · 2026-09-20
Falk is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Fresno State on Saturday, September 26th.
Fresno StateQBJayden Mandal
1034 yds · 6 TD · 1 INT
69.6157/729
WRJaylen Garrison
1 rec · 17 yds · 0 TD
87.913/2069
DBSimeon Harris
24 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.2
- Coverage
- 89.7
- Targets allowed
- 21
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 94
- Passer rating allowed
- 28.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
87.715/2969
RBRayshon Luke
286 yds · 1 TD · 6.8 YPC
83.447/1044
LBJustin Johnson
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.7
- Coverage
- 78.2
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
82.659/1796
WRJosiah Freeman
25 rec · 322 yds · 2 TD
76.992/2069
Availability reports · 3
- Brandon Ramirez · RBout · 2026-08-11
Ramirez is out of action due to an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Rayshon Luke · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Luke is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the State Aztecs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Harold Duvall · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Duvall is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the State Aztecs on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
RICERice
FRESFresno State
vs
Offense
77.2
#74 of 138
QB
Quarterback
69.6
#102 of 138
83.0
#20 of 138
RB
Running backs
77.3
#52 of 138
67.7
#113 of 138
WR
Receivers
79.1
#13 of 138
64.6
#93 of 138
TE
Tight ends
64.3
#95 of 138
64.6
#99 of 138
OL
Offensive line
59.1
#136 of 138
Defense
73.2
#67 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.0
#87 of 138
69.2
#110 of 138
LB
Linebackers
72.3
#85 of 138
71.2
#80 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.5
#28 of 138