CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
UNT 37.2%62.8% UTSA
Projected margin
UTSA by 5.2
Projected total
64
80% outcome range
UNT 13 to UTSA 24
Win probability
UTSA 62.8%

Current team profiles

North Texas
UTSA

When North Texas has the ball

Passing

UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT offense
#12
UTSA defense
#60
EPA comparison
0.49
#12
0.11
#60
Pass EPA

Rushing

UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT offense
#55
UTSA defense
#93
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
0.10
#93
Rush EPA

Drive success

UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT offense
#30
UTSA defense
#80
Success rates
48%
#30
41%
#80
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#18
0.06
#68
EPA / play
1.33
#21
1.15
#34
Explosiveness
10%
#12
13%
#119
Havoc

When UTSA has the ball

Passing

UTSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT defense
#98
UTSA offense
#78
EPA comparison
0.25
#98
0.19
#78
Pass EPA

Rushing

UTSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT defense
#56
UTSA offense
#12
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
0.26
#12
Rush EPA

Drive success

UTSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT defense
#78
UTSA offense
#38
Success rates
41%
#78
47%
#38
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#76
0.23
#34
EPA / play
1.24
#81
1.14
#114
Explosiveness
17%
#52
12%
#27
Havoc

Current key players

North Texas
QBTayven Jackson
1510 yds · 10 TD · 4 INT
90.223/729
TEJerious Singletary
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
81.9
Penalties
0
82.819/1017
RBJahiem White
571 yds · 8 TD · 6.7 YPC
81.263/1044
WRTJ Chukwurah
7 rec · 92 yds · 1 TD
80.454/2069
CBKeshawn Davila
8 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.5
Coverage
79.7
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
16
Passer rating allowed
16.7
Missed tackles
4
78.488/2969
WRKyle Koch
11 rec · 163 yds · 2 TD
78.074/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Corri Milliner · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Milliner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Navy on October 24th.

  • James Tyre · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tyre is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

  • Drew Clemens · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Clemens is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

  • Victor Aderungboye · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Aderungboye is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

UTSA
QBMark Wiepert
— yds · — TD · — INT
68.6178/729
RBA'Marion Peterson
194 yds · 4 TD · 7.2 YPC
89.212/1044
LBCamron Cooper
14 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.6
Coverage
72.1
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
92
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
77.5127/1796
CBZach Morris
9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.9
Coverage
75.4
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
65
Passer rating allowed
48.8
Missed tackles
1
76.4146/2969
WRDJ Allen Jr.
18 rec · 269 yds · 2 TD
76.0109/2069
LBBrandon Tucker
44 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.3
Coverage
57.1
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
16
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
73.2252/1796
Availability reports · 1
  • Bryson Donnell · RBout · 2026-10-10

    Donnell has been out of lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UNT
UTSA
vs
Offense
90.2
#22 of 138
QB
68.6
#107 of 138
77.8
#48 of 138
RB
84.7
#11 of 138
77.0
#27 of 138
WR
68.5
#100 of 138
82.8
#19 of 138
TE
64.0
#96 of 138
64.9
#96 of 138
OL
65.0
#95 of 138
Defense
76.3
#42 of 138
DL
69.5
#113 of 138
76.4
#49 of 138
LB
73.9
#71 of 138
74.2
#43 of 138
DB
70.1
#97 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

North Texas
opponent
UTSA
A-14.0
TXST#55
+5.0A
A+1.0
TLSA#98
+12.8H
H+13.1
RICE#133
+2.0A
A-0.1
NAVY#93
+7.7H
H+10.9
FAU#88
+8.1A
H+15.4
UAB#137
+12.6A
A-2.5
TULN#85
0.0A