Passing
CSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CSU offense
- #55
- UTSA defense
- #60
EPA comparison
0.27
#55
0.11
#60
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CSU 26.4%73.6% UTSA
- Projected margin
- UTSA by 10.1
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- CSU 10 to UTSA 29
- Win probability
- UTSA 73.6%
FinalCSU 45 · UTSA 59model had +10.1, off by 3.9
Current team profiles
Colorado State
UTSAWhen Colorado State has the ball
Rushing
CSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CSU offense
- #9
- UTSA defense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.27
#9
0.10
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
CSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CSU offense
- #53
- UTSA defense
- #80
Success rates
45%
#53
41%
#80
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#30
0.06
#68
EPA / play
1.43
#4
1.15
#34
Explosiveness
16%
#94
13%
#119
Havoc
When UTSA has the ball
Passing
UTSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CSU defense
- #129
- UTSA offense
- #78
EPA comparison
0.43
#129
0.19
#78
Pass EPA
Rushing
UTSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CSU defense
- #130
- UTSA offense
- #12
EPA comparison
0.22
#130
0.26
#12
Rush EPA
Drive success
UTSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CSU defense
- #138
- UTSA offense
- #38
Success rates
52%
#138
47%
#38
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#126
0.23
#34
EPA / play
1.15
#31
1.14
#114
Explosiveness
16%
#77
12%
#27
Havoc
Current key players
Colorado StateQBHauss Hejny
619 yds · 10 TD · 1 INT
78.781/729
RBDurell Robinson
266 yds · 4 TD · 4.3 YPC
78.897/1044
LBCaleb Otlewski
2 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.5
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 3
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.4150/1796
WRRJ Vick
24 rec · 367 yds · 4 TD
74.3139/2069
WRTommy Maher
9 rec · 83 yds · 0 TD
70.7235/2069
SJace Bellah
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.8
- Missed tackles
- 0
68.4550/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Troy Foster · WRout · 2026-10-02
Foster has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Oregon state on Saturday.
- Grant Houser · TEout · 2026-10-02
Houser has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Oregon state on Saturday.
- Hauss Hejny · QBQues. · 2026-10-07
Hejny is laid up with a hamstring injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Texas State on Thursday, October 15th.
UTSAQBMark Wiepert
— yds · — TD · — INT
68.6178/729
RBA'Marion Peterson
194 yds · 4 TD · 7.2 YPC
89.212/1044
LBCamron Cooper
14 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.6
- Coverage
- 72.1
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 92
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.5127/1796
CBZach Morris
9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.9
- Coverage
- 75.4
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 65
- Passer rating allowed
- 48.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.4146/2969
WRDJ Allen Jr.
18 rec · 269 yds · 2 TD
76.0109/2069
LBBrandon Tucker
44 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.3
- Coverage
- 57.1
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 16
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.2252/1796
Availability reports · 1
- Bryson Donnell · RBout · 2026-10-10
Donnell has been out of lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
CSUColorado State
UTSAUTSA
vs
Offense
78.7
#64 of 138
QB
Quarterback
68.6
#107 of 138
78.3
#45 of 138
RB
Running backs
84.7
#11 of 138
68.9
#95 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.5
#100 of 138
60.8
#113 of 138
TE
Tight ends
64.0
#96 of 138
67.6
#71 of 138
OL
Offensive line
65.0
#95 of 138
Defense
68.6
#119 of 138
DL
Defensive line
69.5
#113 of 138
69.1
#111 of 138
LB
Linebackers
73.9
#71 of 138
66.2
#132 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.1
#97 of 138