Passing
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF offense
- #72
- ECU defense
- #7
EPA comparison
0.22
#72
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 10 · Fri Nov 6 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
USF 64.5%35.5% ECU
- Projected margin
- USF by 5.9
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- USF 24 to ECU 13
- Win probability
- USF 64.5%
Current team profiles
South FloridaEast CarolinaWhen South Florida has the ball
Rushing
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF offense
- #45
- ECU defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA
Drive success
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF offense
- #35
- ECU defense
- #11
Success rates
48%
#35
34%
#11
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#56
-0.07
#15
EPA / play
1.12
#122
1.24
#82
Explosiveness
11%
#22
21%
#12
Havoc
When East Carolina has the ball
Passing
USF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF defense
- #75
- ECU offense
- #92
EPA comparison
0.16
#75
0.13
#92
Pass EPA
Rushing
USF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF defense
- #37
- ECU offense
- #116
EPA comparison
-0.03
#37
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA
Drive success
USF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF defense
- #100
- ECU offense
- #119
Success rates
43%
#100
38%
#119
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#67
0.04
#110
EPA / play
1.00
#5
1.22
#75
Explosiveness
15%
#84
19%
#128
Havoc
Current key players
South FloridaQBMichael Van Buren Jr.
896 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
87.231/729
RBTray Kinkle
67 yds · 0 TD · 13.4 YPC
84.343/1044
LBZavier Hamilton
27 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.0
- Coverage
- 66.1
- Pressures
- 9
- Pass-rush snaps
- 14
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.4171/1796
SIsrael Boyce
17 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.1
- Coverage
- 72.7
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 4
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.1193/2969
WRKenny Odom
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
74.8128/2069
LBChristian Smith
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.0
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.6196/1796
Availability reports · 3
- Cameron Seldon · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Seldon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, October 17th.
- Arhmad Branch · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Branch is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.
- Jaden Alexis · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Alexis is battling with an undisclosed injury, and and it is unclear if he will play against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.
East CarolinaQBMitch Griffis
425 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
56.8332/729
DBMyles Pollard
9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 88.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 41
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
83.733/2969
RBAshton Gray
152 yds · 0 TD · 4.8 YPC
83.646/1044
LBDJ Johnson Jr.
29 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.0
- Coverage
- 75.6
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 20
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.873/1796
LBLJ Porter
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.8
- Coverage
- 64.7
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.1139/1796
DBAyden Duncanson
6 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 40.2
- Coverage
- 89.2
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 110
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.0
- Missed tackles
- 3
77.0123/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Jeremiah Melvin · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Melvin is dealing with a back injury, and it is unknown if he will face UAB on Friday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
USFSouth Florida
ECUEast Carolina
vs
Offense
87.2
#29 of 138
QB
Quarterback
56.8
#137 of 138
83.2
#19 of 138
RB
Running backs
78.5
#44 of 138
72.3
#54 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.5
#52 of 138
60.4
#116 of 138
TE
Tight ends
62.0
#106 of 138
68.3
#65 of 138
OL
Offensive line
61.1
#127 of 138
Defense
72.2
#81 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.0
#36 of 138
74.6
#63 of 138
LB
Linebackers
77.7
#39 of 138
72.3
#67 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.0
#33 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
South Florida
opponent
East Carolina
Hhome+20.2
UABUAB#137+6.3Aaway
Hhome+3.2
MEMMemphis#70-10.7Aaway
Hhome-4.0
TEMTemple#108+5.1Hhome
Aaway+4.0
ARMYArmy#53-4.4Aaway
Aaway+10.3
FAUFlorida Atlantic#88+7.1Hhome