Passing
USF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FIU offense
- #107
- USF defense
- #75
EPA comparison
0.10
#107
0.16
#75
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
FIU 14.8%85.2% USF
- Projected margin
- USF by 16.7
- Projected total
- 59
- 80% outcome range
- FIU 4 to USF 37
- Win probability
- USF 85.2%
FinalFIU 9 · USF 19model had +16.7, off by 6.7
Current team profiles
Florida InternationalSouth FloridaWhen Florida International has the ball
Rushing
USF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FIU offense
- #129
- USF defense
- #37
EPA comparison
-0.09
#129
-0.03
#37
Rush EPA
Drive success
USF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FIU offense
- #115
- USF defense
- #100
Success rates
39%
#115
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
-0.01
#124
0.06
#67
EPA / play
1.13
#116
1.00
#5
Explosiveness
16%
#98
15%
#84
Havoc
When South Florida has the ball
Passing
FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FIU defense
- #14
- USF offense
- #72
EPA comparison
-0.05
#14
0.22
#72
Pass EPA
Rushing
FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FIU defense
- #29
- USF offense
- #45
EPA comparison
-0.06
#29
0.16
#45
Rush EPA
Drive success
FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FIU defense
- #11
- USF offense
- #35
Success rates
34%
#11
48%
#35
Success rate
More metrics
-0.07
#14
0.18
#56
EPA / play
1.14
#28
1.12
#122
Explosiveness
18%
#31
11%
#22
Havoc
Current key players
Florida InternationalQBZach Marker
92 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
72.7132/729
RBJayden Ford
11 yds · 0 TD · 11.0 YPC
89.013/1044
WRMaguire Anderson
24 rec · 383 yds · 2 TD
79.362/2069
LBCam Davis
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
78.3115/1796
DBRyan Gadson
15 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.7
- Coverage
- 76.9
- Targets allowed
- 20
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 66.9
- Missed tackles
- 2
77.0127/2969
DBJai-Ayviauynn Celestine
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.8
- Coverage
- 73.1
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 55
- Passer rating allowed
- 33.3
- Missed tackles
- 2
76.2151/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Ayden Passley · TEQues. · 2026-10-08
Passley is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octob
- Kevin Schaeffer · TEQues. · 2026-10-08
Schaeffer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octo
- Noah Sidan · KQues. · 2026-10-08
Sidan is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, October
South FloridaQBMichael Van Buren Jr.
896 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
87.231/729
RBTray Kinkle
67 yds · 0 TD · 13.4 YPC
84.343/1044
LBZavier Hamilton
27 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.0
- Coverage
- 66.1
- Pressures
- 9
- Pass-rush snaps
- 14
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.4171/1796
SIsrael Boyce
17 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.1
- Coverage
- 72.7
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 4
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.1193/2969
WRKenny Odom
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
74.8128/2069
LBChristian Smith
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.0
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.6196/1796
Availability reports · 3
- Cameron Seldon · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Seldon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, October 17th.
- Arhmad Branch · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Branch is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.
- Jaden Alexis · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Alexis is battling with an undisclosed injury, and and it is unclear if he will play against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
FIUFlorida International
USFSouth Florida
vs
Offense
72.7
#92 of 138
QB
Quarterback
87.2
#29 of 138
74.8
#73 of 138
RB
Running backs
83.2
#19 of 138
71.2
#72 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.3
#54 of 138
60.0
#120 of 138
TE
Tight ends
60.4
#116 of 138
62.6
#118 of 138
OL
Offensive line
68.3
#65 of 138
Defense
76.1
#45 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.2
#81 of 138
75.9
#52 of 138
LB
Linebackers
74.6
#63 of 138
72.6
#63 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.3
#67 of 138