CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
KENT 9.6%90.4% USF
Projected margin
USF by 20.5
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
USF 2 to USF 39
Win probability
USF 90.4%

Current team profiles

Kent State
South Florida

When Kent State has the ball

Passing

USF defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT offense
#114
USF defense
#75
EPA comparison
0.07
#114
0.16
#75
Pass EPA

Rushing

USF defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT offense
#126
USF defense
#37
EPA comparison
-0.08
#126
-0.03
#37
Rush EPA

Drive success

USF defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT offense
#134
USF defense
#100
Success rates
33%
#134
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#130
0.06
#67
EPA / play
1.29
#34
1.00
#5
Explosiveness
18%
#122
15%
#84
Havoc

When South Florida has the ball

Passing

USF offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT defense
#113
USF offense
#72
EPA comparison
0.32
#113
0.22
#72
Pass EPA

Rushing

USF offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT defense
#93
USF offense
#45
EPA comparison
0.10
#93
0.16
#45
Rush EPA

Drive success

USF offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT defense
#128
USF offense
#35
Success rates
47%
#128
48%
#35
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#116
0.18
#56
EPA / play
1.20
#55
1.12
#122
Explosiveness
14%
#101
11%
#22
Havoc

Current key players

Kent State
QBDru DeShields
752 yds · 3 TD · 5 INT
69.7156/729
DBDavion Pritchard
7 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
40.7
Coverage
81.1
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
26
Passer rating allowed
67.7
Missed tackles
0
75.4181/2969
WRJay Jay Etheridge
1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
73.5157/2069
LBSemaj Bridgeman
4 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
60.1
Coverage
69.2
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
49
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
71.7296/1796
WRDa'Realyst Clark
20 rec · 242 yds · 1 TD
71.6210/2069
LBHayden Dawahare
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.0
Coverage
75.3
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
19
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
1
71.2323/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Maurice Stephens · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stephens is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dylan Armentrout · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Armentrout is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Eli Tucker · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tucker is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

  • William Bierfeldt · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bierfeldt is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

South Florida
QBMichael Van Buren Jr.
896 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
87.231/729
RBTray Kinkle
67 yds · 0 TD · 13.4 YPC
84.343/1044
LBZavier Hamilton
27 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.0
Coverage
66.1
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
14
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
75.4171/1796
SIsrael Boyce
17 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.1
Coverage
72.7
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
75.1193/2969
WRKenny Odom
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
74.8128/2069
LBChristian Smith
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.6196/1796
Availability reports · 3
  • Cameron Seldon · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Seldon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Arhmad Branch · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Branch is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.

  • Jaden Alexis · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Alexis is battling with an undisclosed injury, and and it is unclear if he will play against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

KENT
USF
vs
Offense
69.7
#101 of 138
QB
87.2
#29 of 138
63.5
#137 of 138
RB
83.2
#19 of 138
69.8
#83 of 138
WR
72.3
#54 of 138
60.2
#119 of 138
TE
60.4
#116 of 138
58.4
#138 of 138
OL
68.3
#65 of 138
Defense
67.4
#130 of 138
DL
72.2
#81 of 138
70.4
#102 of 138
LB
74.6
#63 of 138
65.1
#134 of 138
DB
72.3
#67 of 138
Common opponents