CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
FAU 73.6%26.4% ULM
Projected margin
FAU by 10.0
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
FAU 31 to ULM 11
Win probability
FAU 73.6%
FinalFAU 45 · ULM 17model had -10.0, off by 18.0

Current team profiles

Florida Atlantic
UL Monroe

When Florida Atlantic has the ball

Passing

FAU offense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU offense
#60
ULM defense
#132
EPA comparison
0.26
#60
0.45
#132
Pass EPA

Rushing

FAU offense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU offense
#72
ULM defense
#136
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
0.27
#136
Rush EPA

Drive success

FAU offense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU offense
#53
ULM defense
#136
Success rates
45%
#53
51%
#136
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#59
0.32
#137
EPA / play
1.21
#89
1.24
#84
Explosiveness
15%
#74
11%
#133
Havoc

When UL Monroe has the ball

Passing

FAU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU defense
#103
ULM offense
#111
EPA comparison
0.27
#103
0.08
#111
Pass EPA

Rushing

ULM offense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU defense
#112
ULM offense
#100
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
0.03
#100
Rush EPA

Drive success

FAU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU defense
#63
ULM offense
#88
Success rates
40%
#63
42%
#88
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#117
0.00
#121
EPA / play
1.47
#137
1.16
#102
Explosiveness
16%
#72
17%
#120
Havoc

Current key players

Florida Atlantic
QBCaden Veltkamp
1425 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
85.539/729
DBWallace Foster IV
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.8
Coverage
84.8
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
1
83.037/2969
DBTyclean Luman
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.7
Missed tackles
1
77.8101/2969
WRKelby Valsin
40 rec · 512 yds · 5 TD
75.9111/2069
DBJK Johnson
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
45.5
Coverage
82.2
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
19
Passer rating allowed
51.3
Missed tackles
3
75.2186/2969
WREaston Messer
30 rec · 438 yds · 3 TD
74.8127/2069
UL Monroe
QBAustin Carlisle
312 yds · 3 TD · 3 INT
70.1152/729
LBBilly Pullen
8 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.8
Coverage
78.7
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
55
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
74.3206/1796
RBZach Palmer-Smith
68 yds · 1 TD · 4.9 YPC
73.9197/1044
SLarell Howling
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.0
Coverage
67.7
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
72.5308/2969
LBMarcus Ross
27 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.8
Coverage
70.5
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
35
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
71.6304/1796
WRJaiden Tucker
1 rec · 52 yds · 0 TD
70.7237/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Jaydon Wright · RBout · 2026-10-03

    Wright is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he is unlikely to be available against South Alabama on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Derrick Jameson · RBQues. · 2026-10-01

    Jameson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against the South Alabama on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

FAU
ULM
vs
Offense
85.5
#36 of 138
QB
70.1
#99 of 138
73.0
#97 of 138
RB
73.6
#91 of 138
74.1
#42 of 138
WR
69.2
#92 of 138
58.9
#128 of 138
TE
60.2
#118 of 138
70.4
#50 of 138
OL
64.2
#103 of 138
Defense
75.3
#51 of 138
DL
70.7
#96 of 138
65.1
#134 of 138
LB
71.7
#91 of 138
75.6
#27 of 138
DB
63.4
#137 of 138
Common opponents