CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 6:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
TXSO 0.7%99.3% FAU
Projected margin
FAU by 40.7
Projected total
63
80% outcome range
FAU 20 to FAU 62
Win probability
FAU 99.3%
FinalTXSO 10 · FAU 66model had +40.7, off by 15.3

Current team profiles

Texas Southern
Florida Atlantic

When Texas Southern has the ball

Passing

No comparison
TXSO offense
—
FAU defense
#103
EPA comparison
—
0.27
#103
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
TXSO offense
—
FAU defense
#112
EPA comparison
—
0.15
#112
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
TXSO offense
#62
FAU defense
#63
Success rates
44%
#62
40%
#63
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#22
0.18
#117
EPA / play
0.23
#20
1.47
#137
Explosiveness
—
16%
#72
Havoc

When Florida Atlantic has the ball

Passing

No comparison
TXSO defense
—
FAU offense
#60
EPA comparison
—
0.26
#60
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
TXSO defense
—
FAU offense
#72
EPA comparison
—
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
TXSO defense
#95
FAU offense
#53
Success rates
47%
#95
45%
#53
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#94
0.18
#59
EPA / play
0.21
#74
1.21
#89
Explosiveness
—
15%
#74
Havoc

Current key players

Texas Southern
RBAthean Renfro Jr.
449 yds · 3 TD · 5.4 YPC
78.548/631
KMiguel Arana III
6/9 FG · 0%
78.312/416
DBJoel Williams
7 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.9
Coverage
73.1
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
73.7204/1765
RBRi'Jon Hammond
45 yds · 1 TD · 5.6 YPC
73.2116/631
DLJordan Thompson
18 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.0
Pressures
11
Pass-rush snaps
95
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
72.7187/1549
RBJacob Washington
135 yds · 1 TD · 5.6 YPC
71.4144/631
Florida Atlantic
QBCaden Veltkamp
1425 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
85.539/729
DBWallace Foster IV
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.8
Coverage
84.8
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
1
83.037/2969
DBTyclean Luman
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.7
Missed tackles
1
77.8101/2969
WRKelby Valsin
40 rec · 512 yds · 5 TD
75.9111/2069
DBJK Johnson
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
45.5
Coverage
82.2
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
19
Passer rating allowed
51.3
Missed tackles
3
75.2186/2969
WREaston Messer
30 rec · 438 yds · 3 TD
74.8127/2069
Position units

Position-unit comparison

TXSO
FAU
vs
Offense
61.6
#102 of 125
QB
85.5
#36 of 138
75.8
#30 of 126
RB
73.0
#97 of 138
66.5
#91 of 126
WR
74.1
#42 of 138
65.9
#57 of 124
TE
58.9
#128 of 138
56.2
#121 of 125
OL
70.4
#50 of 138
Defense
66.4
#107 of 126
DL
75.3
#51 of 138
64.8
#115 of 126
LB
65.1
#134 of 138
67.0
#115 of 126
DB
75.6
#27 of 138
Common opponents