Passing
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FAU offense
- #60
- ECU defense
- #7
EPA comparison
0.26
#60
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Fri Nov 27 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
FAU 32.4%67.6% ECU
- Projected margin
- ECU by 7.1
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- FAU 12 to ECU 26
- Win probability
- ECU 67.6%
Current team profiles
Florida AtlanticEast CarolinaWhen Florida Atlantic has the ball
Rushing
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FAU offense
- #72
- ECU defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA
Drive success
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FAU offense
- #53
- ECU defense
- #11
Success rates
45%
#53
34%
#11
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#59
-0.07
#15
EPA / play
1.21
#89
1.24
#82
Explosiveness
15%
#74
21%
#12
Havoc
When East Carolina has the ball
Passing
ECU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FAU defense
- #103
- ECU offense
- #92
EPA comparison
0.27
#103
0.13
#92
Pass EPA
Rushing
FAU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FAU defense
- #112
- ECU offense
- #116
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA
Drive success
FAU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FAU defense
- #63
- ECU offense
- #119
Success rates
40%
#63
38%
#119
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#117
0.04
#110
EPA / play
1.47
#137
1.22
#75
Explosiveness
16%
#72
19%
#128
Havoc
Current key players
Florida AtlanticQBCaden Veltkamp
1425 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
85.539/729
DBWallace Foster IV
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.8
- Coverage
- 84.8
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
83.037/2969
DBTyclean Luman
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.8101/2969
WRKelby Valsin
40 rec · 512 yds · 5 TD
75.9111/2069
DBJK Johnson
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 45.5
- Coverage
- 82.2
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 19
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.3
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.2186/2969
WREaston Messer
30 rec · 438 yds · 3 TD
74.8127/2069
East CarolinaQBMitch Griffis
425 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
56.8332/729
DBMyles Pollard
9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 88.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 41
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
83.733/2969
RBAshton Gray
152 yds · 0 TD · 4.8 YPC
83.646/1044
LBDJ Johnson Jr.
29 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.0
- Coverage
- 75.6
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 20
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.873/1796
LBLJ Porter
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.8
- Coverage
- 64.7
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.1139/1796
DBAyden Duncanson
6 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 40.2
- Coverage
- 89.2
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 110
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.0
- Missed tackles
- 3
77.0123/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Jeremiah Melvin · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Melvin is dealing with a back injury, and it is unknown if he will face UAB on Friday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
FAUFlorida Atlantic
ECUEast Carolina
vs
Offense
85.5
#36 of 138
QB
Quarterback
56.8
#137 of 138
73.0
#97 of 138
RB
Running backs
78.5
#44 of 138
74.1
#42 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.5
#52 of 138
58.9
#128 of 138
TE
Tight ends
62.0
#106 of 138
70.4
#50 of 138
OL
Offensive line
61.1
#127 of 138
Defense
75.3
#51 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.0
#36 of 138
65.1
#134 of 138
LB
Linebackers
77.7
#39 of 138
75.6
#27 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.0
#33 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Florida Atlantic
opponent
East Carolina
Hhome+4.9
RICERice#133+16.0Hhome
Aaway-8.8
ARMYArmy#53-4.4Aaway
Hhome-10.3
USFSouth Florida#76-5.9Hhome