CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UNT 9.1%90.9% IU
Projected margin
IU by 21.4
Projected total
61
80% outcome range
IU 1 to IU 42
Win probability
IU 90.9%
FinalUNT 16 · IU 52model had +21.4, off by 14.6

Current team profiles

North Texas
Indiana

When North Texas has the ball

Passing

UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT offense
#12
IU defense
#20
EPA comparison
0.49
#12
0.00
#20
Pass EPA

Rushing

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT offense
#55
IU defense
#18
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA

Drive success

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT offense
#30
IU defense
#4
Success rates
48%
#30
32%
#4
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#18
-0.06
#16
EPA / play
1.33
#21
1.43
#132
Explosiveness
10%
#12
19%
#24
Havoc

When Indiana has the ball

Passing

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT defense
#98
IU offense
#2
EPA comparison
0.25
#98
0.65
#2
Pass EPA

Rushing

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT defense
#56
IU offense
#17
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
0.25
#17
Rush EPA

Drive success

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT defense
#78
IU offense
#24
Success rates
41%
#78
49%
#24
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#76
0.41
#2
EPA / play
1.24
#81
1.41
#5
Explosiveness
17%
#52
11%
#18
Havoc

Current key players

North Texas
QBTayven Jackson
1510 yds · 10 TD · 4 INT
90.223/729
TEJerious Singletary
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
81.9
Penalties
0
82.819/1017
RBJahiem White
571 yds · 8 TD · 6.7 YPC
81.263/1044
WRTJ Chukwurah
7 rec · 92 yds · 1 TD
80.454/2069
CBKeshawn Davila
8 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.5
Coverage
79.7
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
16
Passer rating allowed
16.7
Missed tackles
4
78.488/2969
WRKyle Koch
11 rec · 163 yds · 2 TD
78.074/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Corri Milliner · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Milliner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Navy on October 24th.

  • James Tyre · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tyre is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

  • Drew Clemens · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Clemens is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

  • Victor Aderungboye · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Aderungboye is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

Indiana
QBGrant Wilson
74 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
86.433/729
RBTurbo Richard
587 yds · 5 TD · 9.3 YPC
91.03/1044
WRCharlie Becker
27 rec · 477 yds · 8 TD
88.710/2069
WRNick Marsh
23 rec · 341 yds · 4 TD
82.239/2069
LBJacob Savage
6 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.6
Coverage
63.8
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.6108/1796
LBJeff Utzinger
8 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
66.5
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.1157/1796
Availability reports · 1
  • Jamari Sharpe · DBout · 2026-09-12

    Indiana cornerbacks A.J. Harris, Jamari Sharpe out vs. Howard - ESPN

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UNT
IU
vs
Offense
90.2
#22 of 138
QB
86.4
#31 of 138
77.8
#48 of 138
RB
85.2
#10 of 138
77.0
#27 of 138
WR
83.7
#2 of 138
82.8
#19 of 138
TE
59.0
#127 of 138
64.9
#96 of 138
OL
73.3
#26 of 138
Defense
76.3
#42 of 138
DL
81.7
#8 of 138
76.4
#49 of 138
LB
76.9
#44 of 138
74.2
#43 of 138
DB
72.5
#65 of 138
Common opponents